What every Elliott Wave analyst wants to see is a five-wave sequence, followed by a three-wave decline. In other words, the common 5-3 Elliott Wave cycle, after which the trend is expected to resume in the direction of the impulsive five. This is exactly what we have on the hourly chart of USDJPY, shown below.
- Recommended reading: USDJPY just went out of that triangle
You can see the five-wave decline from 102.30 and its corresponding w-x-y correction. Wave Y is currently in the gravity zone of the 61.8% Fibonacci level, where second waves often terminate. This is the reason why we think the stage is set for another decline in USDJPY. The invalidation of this count comes at 102.30, while if it turns out to be the correct one, we should expect the support of 100.75 to be finally broken.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
GBP/USD rises above 1.3300 after UK Retail Sales data
GBP/USD trades with a positive bias for the third straight day on Friday and hovers above the 1.3300 mark in the European morning on Friday. The data from the UK showed that Retail Sales rose at a stronger pace than expected in August, supporting Pound Sterling.
USD/JPY keeps BoJ-led losses below 142.50, Ueda's presser eyed
USD/JPY remains in the red below 142.50 after the Bank of Japan announced on Friday that it maintained the short-term rate target in the range of 0.15%-0.25%, as widely expected. Governor Ueda's press conference is next in focus.
Gold consolidates weekly gains, with sight on $2,600 and beyond
Gold price is looking to build on the previous day’s rebound early Friday, consolidating weekly gains amid the overnight weakness in the US Dollar alongside the US Treasury bond yields. Traders now await the speeches from US Federal Reserve monetary policymakers for fresh hints on the central bank’s path forward on interest rates.
Shiba Inu is poised for a rally as price action and on-chain metrics signal bullish momentum
Shiba Inu remains strong on Friday after breaking above a symmetrical triangle pattern on Thursday. This breakout signals bullish momentum, further bolstered by a rise in daily new transactions that suggests a potential rally in the coming days.
Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July’s hike shocked markets
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its short-term interest rate target between 0.15% and 0.25% on Friday, following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy review. The decision is set to be announced during the early Asian session.
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know
VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.