Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop‐loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short‐term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short‐term outlook (next 1‐2 weeks): bearish
Medium‐term outlook (next 1‐3 months): bearish
Long‐term outlook (next year): bullish
The U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.4‐0.7% on Friday, extending their recent move up, as investors reacted to economic data releases. The S&P 500 index continues to trade below resistance level of 2,100. The next important level of resistance is at around 2,130, marked by May all‐time high. On the other hand, level of support remains at 2,020‐2,050. For now, it looks like a consolidation following October rally:
Expectations before the opening of today's trading session are negative, with index futures currently down 0.2‐0.3%. The main European stock market indexes have lost 0.4‐0.9% so far. Investors will now wait for the Existing Home Sales number release at 10:00 a.m. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) trades within an intraday downtrend, as it retraces Friday's advance. The nearest important level of resistance is at 2,090‐2,100. On the other hand, support level is at 2,070‐2,080, as the 15‐minute chart shows:
The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) follows a similar path, as it retraces its Friday's advance. The nearest important level of resistance is at 4,700, and support level is at 4,650, among others, as we can see on the 15‐minute chart:
Concluding, the broad stock market extended its short‐term move up on Friday, as it got closer to its early November local high. However, it bounced off resistance level of 2,100. Despite recent rally, there have been no confirmed positive signals so far. Therefore, we continue to maintain our speculative short position (2,088.35, S&P 500 index). Stop‐loss is at 2,140 and potential profit target is at 1,990 (S&P 500 index). You can trade S&P 500 index using futures contracts (S&P 500 futures contract ‐ SP, E‐mini S&P 500 futures contract ‐ ES) or an ETF like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF ‐ SPY. It is always important to set some exit price level in case some events cause the price to move in the unlikely direction. Having safety measures in place helps limit potential losses while letting the gains grow.
All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and Sunshine Profits' employees and associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Radomski is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Przemyslaw Radomski's, CFA reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD loses ground due to the absence of a hawkish RBA
The Australian Dollar has plunged following the Reserve Bank of Australia's decision to maintain its interest rate at 4.35% on Tuesday. Investors sentiment leaned toward a potentially more hawkish stance from the RBA, particularly after last week's inflation data surpassed expectations.
EUR/USD edges lower to near 1.0750 after hawkish remarks from a Fed official
EUR/USD extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around 1.0750 during the Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar gains ground due to the expectations of the Federal Reserve’s prolonging higher interest rates.
Gold price remains on the defensive on a firmer US Dollar
Gold price attracts some sellers on the firmer US Dollar during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials dampen hopes for potential interest rate cuts in 2024 despite weaker-than-expected US employment reports in April.
FTX files consensus-based plan of reorganization, awaits bankruptcy court approval
FTX has filed a consensus-based plan for its reorganization, coming almost two years after the now defunct FTX filed for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection in the District of Delaware.
Living vicariously through rate cut expectations
U.S. stock indexes made gains on Tuesday as concerns about an overheating U.S. economy ease, particularly with incoming economic reports showing data surprises at their most negative levels since February of last year.