EURGBP

EURGBP

The dollar traded higher against almost all of its G10 counterparts during the European morning Wednesday. It was lower against NOK and AUD, in that order, while it was stable vs GBP.

The UK’s unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.0% in October, its lowest level since September 2008. More importantly, average weekly earnings including bonuses rose 1.4% yoy, up from +1.0% yoy in September and higher than expected. The figure was the most important development as it was higher than inflation and therefore real wages are growing. At the same time, the Bank of England released the minutes of its early December policy meeting. The vote remained 7-2 in favor of no change in interest rates. The majority saw heightened risk that growth may soften more than expected or that inflation may stay below target for longer than expected. The latter risk has been intensified by the collapse in oil prices.

EUR/GBP moved lower following the strong labor data but the move was halted few pips above the 200-period moving average. I would expect the rate to test the 0.7910 (S1) support line, where a break of that hurdle could trigger further extensions towards our next support of 0.7880 (S2) line. Our short-term momentum studies support this notion. The RSI crossed the 50 line and is pointing down, while the MACD, crossed below its trigger line and is also pointing down. Although these signs designate accelerating bearish momentum, I would wait for a break below the 0.7910 (S1) support level to get more confident for the decline. On the daily chart, although the overall path of the pair is to the downside, it seems to be forming a symmetrical triangle formation reflecting investors’ indecisiveness in recent months. Usually, symmetrical triangles are thought of as a continuation pattern and a break in either direction is likely to determine the subsequent bias.

  • Support: 0.7910 (S1), 0.7880 (S2), 0.7865 (S3).

  • Resistance: 0.7935 (R1), 0.7950 (R2), 0.7970 (R3) .

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD: A tough barrier remains around 0.6800

AUD/USD: A tough barrier remains around 0.6800

AUD/USD failed to maintain the earlier surpass of the 0.6800 barrier, eventually succumbing to the late rebound in the Greenback following the Fed’s decision to lower its interest rates by50 bps.

AUD/USD News
EUR/USD still targets the 2024 peaks around 1.1200

EUR/USD still targets the 2024 peaks around 1.1200

EUR/USD added to Tuesday’s losses after the post-FOMC rebound in the US Dollar prompted the pair to give away earlier gains to three-week highs in the 1.1185-1.1190 band.

EUR/USD News
Gold surrenders gains and drops to weekly lows near $2,550

Gold surrenders gains and drops to weekly lows near $2,550

Gold prices reverses the initial uptick to record highs around the $$2,600 per ounce troy, coming under renewed downside pressure and revisiting the $2,550 zone amidst the late recovery in the US Dollar.

Gold News
Ethereum could rally to $2,817 following Fed's 50 bps rate cut

Ethereum could rally to $2,817 following Fed's 50 bps rate cut

Ethereum (ETH) is trading above $2,330 on Wednesday as the market is recovering following the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Meanwhile, Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETF) recorded $15.1 million in outflows.

Read more
UK CPI set to grow at stable 2.2% in August ahead of BoE meeting

UK CPI set to grow at stable 2.2% in August ahead of BoE meeting

The United Kingdom Office for National Statistics will release August Consumer Price Index figures on Wednesday. Inflation, as measured by the CPI, is one of the main factors on which the Bank of England bases its monetary policy decision, meaning the data is considered a major mover of the Pound Sterling.

Read more
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures