Chart_16-04-27_12-05-49

Gold, 240 min

I wrote three days ago that I’m looking for sell signals in gold at or inside my sell area near 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci levels between $1244 and $1254 with Target 1 at: $1227 – $1238. Market rallied to $1243.80 the next day and missed my entry level by 20c before turning lower and dropping to my target one. Now gold has moved inside my Sell Area again, but the bearish technical picture has deteriorated. Here’s a quick recap on what was discussed on gold in yesterday’s webinar.

I pointed out in the Live Analysis Webinar that we now have a support near the sell area. Also, yesterday price created a higher low in the 4h chart at $1232.70. The high from 25th is now a penetrated resistance turned into a potential support. This has given the price of gold technical support and helped it to creep higher and create higher lows in the hourly chart. Price could still turn from these levels but the probabilities are much lower and as a rule we are interested in low probability events. In yesterday’s webinar I said that I don’t like the idea of shorting near support and therefore could consider gold shorts near 0.50 Fibonacci retracement level at $1250.30.

Now we’ve seen price moving almost to $1250 but ideally I would’ve liked to see price moving to this level as a result of volatility caused by the FOMC statement. As a rule it makes sense to wait for the FOMC statement’s wording and market reactions to it before taking trades. As always we should trade the market accordingly and find new entry levels based on the principles taught in the webinars. The nearest 4h support and resistance levels are at $1243.80 and $1254 which coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci level.


 

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.0700 ahead of key US data

EUR/USD holds above 1.0700 ahead of key US data

EUR/USD trades in a tight range above 1.0700 in the early European session on Friday. The US Dollar struggles to gather strength ahead of key PCE Price Index data, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation, and helps the pair hold its ground. 

EUR/USD News

USD/JPY stays above 156.00 after BoJ Governor Ueda's comments

USD/JPY stays above 156.00 after BoJ Governor Ueda's comments

USD/JPY holds above 156.00 after surging above this level with the initial reaction to the Bank of Japan's decision to leave the policy settings unchanged. BoJ Governor said weak Yen was not impacting prices but added that they will watch FX developments closely.

USD/JPY News

Gold price oscillates in a range as the focus remains glued to the US PCE Price Index

Gold price oscillates in a range as the focus remains glued to the US PCE Price Index

Gold price struggles to attract any meaningful buyers amid the emergence of fresh USD buying. Bets that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer amid sticky inflation help revive the USD demand.

Gold News

Sei Price Prediction: SEI is in the zone of interest after a 10% leap

Sei Price Prediction: SEI is in the zone of interest after a 10% leap

Sei price has been in recovery mode for almost ten days now, following a fall of almost 65% beginning in mid-March. While the SEI bulls continue to show strength, the uptrend could prove premature as massive bearish sentiment hovers above the altcoin’s price.

Read more

US core PCE inflation set to signal firm price pressures as markets delay Federal Reserve rate cut bets

US core PCE inflation set to signal firm price pressures as markets delay Federal Reserve rate cut bets

The core PCE Price Index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is seen as the more influential measure of inflation in terms of Fed positioning. The index is forecast to rise 0.3% on a monthly basis in March, matching February’s increase. 

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures