Jackson Hole leaves the markets still and disappointed


All traders were focused on the Jackson Hole annual symposium, where central bankers meet in the one place to discuss the future of global economy and monetary policy making. However, the three-day meeting proved to be quite disappointing or even, boring by Wall Street standards.

Yellen’s speech can be described as neutral. The markets’ response was limited as the Fed Chairwoman reflected both a dovish and hawkish side. The only currency appeared to be effected, the Euro, fell by over 40 pips against the Dollar. As the rebound in last Thursday confirmed, the 1.33 support had been broken through. The fall of the Euro/Dollar may continue and in the long term, it looks to be heading to 1.27, the low of 2013.

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For Gold, the slump temporarily stopped at $1270 per ounce. This area has been a strong support since March and the upward trendline since 2013- at the low of $1180. With expectations that there will be a peaceful result of the meeting between Russian President Putin and Ukrainian President Poroshenko, the markets seem more at ease. Germany has suggested Ukraine accept federalism to alleviate the conflict, showing the largest economy is seeking a peaceful resolution. If so, the middle term outlook of gold price is pessimistic. The breakthrough of $1270 level may imply that the price will once again fall to its former low of $1180.

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Asian stock markets closed with little changes on Friday before the Jackson Hole. Shanghai Composite edged 0.46% lower to 2241. The Nikkei Stock Average lost 0.30%. The Australian ASX 200 gained 0.12% to 5646. In the European stock markets, the FTSE fell 0.04%, the German DAX lost 0.66%, and the French CAC Index fell 0.93%. U.S. stocks fell slightly with limited change. The Dows fell 0.22% to 17001. The S&P 500 edged 0.20% lower to 1988, while the Nasdaq Composite Index was up 0.14% to 4538.

No data release during the Asian trading hours and today is UK’s bank holiday. The only data may be worth noting is the German IFO Business Climate at 18:00 AEST.

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