The bigger risk events for currency markets fall into the latter half of the week, meaning that for now majors are constrained to relatively tight ranges with little impetus to breakout either side. The most notable move overnight has been with the Aussie. There were some fears that the RBA Governor Stevens could be more vocal on the currency in a schedule speech. As it was, there was no change in tone, which resulted in a modest relief rally on the Aussie.
That said, the 0.95 level will continue to offer tough resistance, as this is now seen as the line in the sand above which the RBA is likely to become more pointed in its remarks on currency strength.

For today, US CPI data is the main focus. The recent price action has shown the dollar becoming more sensitive to short-term interest rates as the discussion regarding the timing of the first Fed rate hike becomes more open. This was in evidence last week as Fed Chair Yellen gave her testimony in Washington. Both headline and core CPI rates are seen steady at 2.1% and 2.0% respectively, with stronger data more likely to push EURUSD below the low for the most at 1.3491.

Elsewhere, interest rate dynamics are also suggesting more consolidative activity on sterling, with 2Y rate spreads (UK minus US) have unwound half of the move seen after the change in tone from the BoE earlier last month.
EURGBP still looks to be the better cross to look for sterling strength should the data continue to come out to the firm side (GDP on Friday), given the growing dollar sensitivity to data and Fed rate hike prospects.

FxPro UK Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority, registration number 509956. CFDs are leveraged products that incur a high level of risk and it is possible to lose all your capital invested. Please ensure that you understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.

Disclaimer: This material is considered a marketing communication and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice or an investment recommendation or, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee of or prediction of future performance. FxPro does not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation. FxPro makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplied by any employee of FxPro, a third party or otherwise. This material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements promoting the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice. Any opinions made may be personal to the author and may not reflect the opinions of FxPro. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without the prior permission of FxPro. Risk Warning: CFDs, which are leveraged products, incur a high level of risk and can result in the loss of all your invested capital. Therefore, CFDs may not be suitable for all investors. You should not risk more than you are prepared to lose. Before deciding to trade, please ensure you understand the risks involved and take into account your level of experience. Seek independent advice if necessary. FxPro Financial Services Ltd is authorised and regulated by the CySEC (licence no. 078/07) and FxPro UK Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority, Number 509956.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1180 following the Fed’s decision

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1180 following the Fed’s decision

EUR/USD now picks up extra pace and revisits the 1.1180 region after the Federal Reserve decided to cut its interest rates by 50 bps at its event on Wednesday.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD hits fresh tops near 1.3300 on weaker Dollar

GBP/USD hits fresh tops near 1.3300 on weaker Dollar

The Greenback is now accelerating its decline following the Fed’s decision to reduce its interest rates, sending GBP/USD to fresh tops in the 1.3290 zone.

GBP/USD News
Gold clinches a record high near $2,600 ahead of Powell

Gold clinches a record high near $2,600 ahead of Powell

Prices of Gold gather extra steam and hit an all-time top near the $2,600 mark per ounce troy as investors continue to assess the 50 bps rate cut by the Federal Reseve and warm up for the usual press conference by Chief Jerome Powell.

Gold News
Federal Reserve set for first interest-rate reduction in four years amid growing bets of jumbo cut

Federal Reserve set for first interest-rate reduction in four years amid growing bets of jumbo cut

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to lower the policy rate after the September meeting. The revised Summary of Economic Projections and Fed Chairman Powell’s remarks could provide important clues about the rate outlook.

Read more
UK CPI set to grow at stable 2.2% in August ahead of BoE meeting

UK CPI set to grow at stable 2.2% in August ahead of BoE meeting

The United Kingdom Office for National Statistics will release August Consumer Price Index figures on Wednesday. Inflation, as measured by the CPI, is one of the main factors on which the Bank of England bases its monetary policy decision, meaning the data is considered a major mover of the Pound Sterling.

Read more
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures