Steve Ruffley
SteveRuffley.com
Summary
As the race for rates heats up, will there be any clues as to when Mark Carney will admit that the best part of a decade of ‘free money’ needs to come to an end. With US likely to slip a hike in this year or very early next year, the UK can’t be too far behind.Latest Live Videos
Editors’ Picks
GBP/USD holds above 1.3600 after UK data dump
\GBP/USD moves little while holding above 1.3600 in the European session on Thursday, following the release of the UK Q4 preliminary GDP, which showed a 0.1% growth against a 0.2% increase expected. The UK industrial sector activity deteriorated in Decembert, keeping the downward pressure intact on the Pound Sterling.
EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1900 as USD recovers
EUR/USD trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day, below 1.1900 in the European session on Thursday. A modest rebound in the US Dollar is weighing on the pair, despite an upbeat market mood. Traders keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims data for further trading impetus.
Gold sticks to modest intraday losses as reduced March Fed rate cut bets underpin USD
Gold languishes near the lower end of its daily range heading into the European session on Thursday. The precious metal, however, lacks follow-through selling amid mixed cues and currently trades above the $5,050 level, well within striking distance of a nearly two-week low touched the previous day.
Cardano eyes short-term rebound as derivatives sentiment improves
Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.257 at the time of writing on Thursday, after slipping more than 4% so far this week. Derivatives sentiment improves as ADA’s funding rates turn positive alongside rising long bets among traders.
The market trades the path not the past
The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, February 12:
The United States (US) released stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls report for January, adding 130K jobs in quite an auspicious start to the year, while the Unemployment Rate ticked lower to 4.3%, and Average Hourly Earnings held steady at 3.7% over the last twelve months.