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Speculative investors reduce USD longs significantly

Tue, Dec 23 2008, 14:34 GMT
by Kasper Kirkegaard

Danske Bank A/S


  • The latest IMM data covers the week from 9 to 16 December, and shows that overall speculative positions were reduced significantly for all currencies, but JPY and CHF.
  • Speculative investors shed USD longs for a fourth week, as the dollar came under pressure, weakening against all G10 currencies.
  • EUR saw the largest short-term rally since the single currency was introduced, and gained close to 10% against USD in the week to 16 December. Net short EUR positions were scaled back, which in combination with the reduction in USD longs, implies a significant cutback in implied short EUR/USD positions.
  • Speculative investors reduced net short CHF positions marginally. CHF lost slightly against EUR in the week to 16 December, but has appreciated against EUR since, as the only G10 currency besides SEK.
  • Net GBP positions were broadly unchanged, despite EUR/GBP moving above 0.90 for the first time. However, the IMM data was collected before the accelerated move in EUR/GBP above 0.95.

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Danske Bank  | Holmens Kanal 2-12, DK-1092 Copenhagen
http://www.danskebank.com/ | danskeresearch@danskebank.com

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