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The U.S. Senate agrees to vote on a $700 billion bail−out package tonight

Wed, Oct 1 2008, 08:13 GMT
by Varengold Bank Research Team

Varengold Wertpapierhandelsbank AG


Good morning from wonderful Hamburg. The U.S. Stocks and Indices recovered back from record lows on hopes for a second try to bail out the financial crisis. We hope for good news and wish you a successful trading start to the new and last quarter of this year.

Market review

The U.S. Senate agrees to vote on a $700 billion bail-out package tonight, that will include a sharp increase in the amount of bank deposits insured by the FDIC (Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation) senate leaders say. The House of Republican and Democratic leaders also hope for a revised decision would pass in that chamber. On this news U.S. stocks added to gains after record lows from yesterday as investors were shocked due to the bail-out rejection. However the EUR/USD is down at 1.41 after the opening at 1.44 the day before. The USD/JPY dips 0.2% at 105.84 from the 106.54 level earlier, while the investors became nervous as the S&P futures fall and suggests a possible negative start of Wall Street shares later in the day, traders said.

The BOJ offers 800 bln JPY of funds on a same-day basis after the biggest 1-day injection in the post-quantitative easing period of 3 trln JPY the previous day. It keeps supplying cash to those market players needing it on the first day in the new quarter. Overall the market is calming down in Tokyo, with investor focus remaining on the fate of the U.S. bank bail-out package.

Overnight USD funding rates stayed steep in Asia trade while some traders saying that transactions were done at 6% as the start of a new financial quarter failed to relieve the big shortage of USD cash that has left many banks and funds scrambling.

EUR/AUD

After the break trough the 1.654 resistance level, the EUR/AUD has started to trade in a bullish trend channel. Last week the market was trading close to the lower trend line but it recovered back to the upper line again. If the market doesn’t break the lower trend line we could expect further bullish movements.

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EUR/CAD

Since the beginning of August the EUR/CAD has been trading in a bearish trend channel with a support at 1.5 and a resistance level at 1.62. In the previous days the currency pair has traded close to the 1.5 level. If the market crosses this support level it could continue its bearish development.

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