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Daily World Market Update

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Pound Idles Lower

Fri, Nov 20 2009, 10:59 GMT
by Jeremy Cook

World First UK Ltd


All this and more is available on our video blog

The pound continued to dribble lower yesterday as the market continued to digest the Bank of England’s November Minutes. The news that the BOE is continuing to place weight behind a plan to cut the interest rate that commercial banks receive on deposits was the major unexpected sentence in the minutes and has hurt sterling accordingly.

The pound was buoyed however by retail sales for October that rose at the fastest rate since the beginning of the downturn. The combination of rubbish bought for the second largest commercial fraud after Valentine’s; Halloween, and half term for schools saw sales rise 0.4%. Shops will be hoping to carry this through to Xmas. I was on Oxford St (even Chief Economists get some free time) yesterday and while it was pretty packed with people not many were carrying bags. Maybe it’s too early?

In US news the index of economic leading indicators continued to rise. This is the seventh month in a row which has seen the index showing better prospects for the near term future in the US although the prospects of a swift, v-shaped recovery are looking less and less likely.

Newsflow is fairly quiet today and we believe GBP will continue to weaken over the course of the day.


Latest Exchange Rates At Time Of Writing

Indicative RatesSellBuy
GBP/EUR1.11341.1163
GBP/USD1.66111.6635
EUR/USD1.49011.4922
GBP/JPY147.5147.83
GBP/AUD1.80561.8106
GBP/NZD2.27442.2756
GBP/CAD1.76451.772
NZD/USD0.72720.7312
GBP/ZAR12.4612.51
USD/ZAR7.497.453
GBP/PLN4.59164.6216
EUR/JPY132.3132.58


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Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

Disclaimer: The comments put forward by World First are only our views and should not be construed as advice. You should act using your own information and judgement. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon multiple sources the author believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and it may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute the author’s own judgement as of the date of the briefing and are subject to change without notice. Any rates given are “interbank” ie for amounts of £5million and thus are not indicative of rates offered by World First for smaller amounts.

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