This article written by Maite Krausse was originally published in the november 2014 issue of Traders' Magazine.
- Maite Krausse has been interested in the stock markets since taking her degree in business administration. Today she is a professional day trader and is specialised on forex. Her husband and Maite offer professional support to traders – finding daily trading signals, analysis and tips.
How to Trade Breakouts in Forex
It is always the same question for traders of all experience-levels in Forex: Which strategy achieves the most profit and which trading system will save the account in the forex market? We cannot promise the Holy Grail, because it simply does not exist in trading. But there is a helpful strategy that achieves high profits in volatile market phases: the breakout strategy.Simple Approach – Huge Effect
Breakouts are best used with the majors, the five major currency pairs. We use the volatile trading times of the European and American trading session (8 am until 10 pm Central European Time) to cover the fundamental events. The price range that the price shall “break” is formed from 12 am to 8 am CET and offers the trader the basic trading approach for the following day at 8 am. This range is valid for the particular day – you’ll define it again on the next day and therefore this strategy is useful for day traders. The highs until 8 am are the upper border and the resistance level and the lows are the support levels. If the price exceeds the high or undercuts the low, the buy order above the high or the sell order below the low is executed. The trader does not need to watch the chart the whole time – we enter pending orders at 8 am for the buy and sell entries. As soon as a buy or sell order is executed the trade is managed all day – we use a 1:2 risk-reward ratio on quiet days and a risk-reward ratio of 1:4 on economically important days, for example a Fed decision regarding interest rates. We do not risk more than one or two per cent of trading capital per trade – in contrast to four or eight per cent of profit possibility. Trade management is simple with an automatic trailing stop of 15 to 25 pips.Entries
We observe the price range between 12 am to 8 am CET in the 15-minute chart. During this time we determine the highs and lows. We enter two to five pips above the high or two to five pips below the low. Furthermore, we look at support and resistance levels in the hourly chart. We determine sell orders above resistance and sell orders below support.Exits
Greed is one of the cardinal sins in trading. But every trader knows the feeling of a trade in profit and you want to achieve even more pips. This is a very human feeling and therefore you need a strong trading plan with fixed take-profit rules. We calculate it based on the RRR and we follow it strictly. For example, we can determine the stop-loss (SL) at 20 to 30 pips. The take profit (TP) is determined at 40 to 100 pips, depending on market fluctuation. We choose a smaller TP in quiet market phases and a higher TP on days of interest rate decisions and other big events. If a trade is stopped out with a loss, we can re-enter on the same day, again with a pending order. The breakout strategy is now clearly determined and that helps the psyche of the trader – cancelling out greed and fear. You should always follow your entry and exit rules and you should accept false breakouts or huge profits after your TP.
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD falls toward 0.6600 amid risk aversion
AUD/USD drops toward 0.6600 in Asian trading on Tuesday, as recent mixed Australian labour market data and renewed concerns about the health of the Chinese economy undermine the Aussie amid a softer risk tone and a pause in the US Dollar decline. Traders now look to the delayed US NFP report for some impetus.
USD/JPY stays in the red below 155.00 amid BoJ rate hike bets, US data awaited
USD/JPY holds moderate losses below 155.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday. The Japanese Yen gains ground on expectations that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates at the upcoming policy meeting on Friday. Traders will closely monitor key US data, including Nonfarm Payrolls, Retail Sales, and Purchasing Managers Index, which are due later in the day.
Gold defends $4,300 as focus shifts to US NFP, PMI data
Gold price holds the $4,300 level, easing from the highest since October 21 in the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal stays afloat on further US Federal Reserve rate cut bets. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report will take center stage later on Tuesday. Also, the US Retail Sales and Purchasing Managers Index will be published.
Ethereum: BitMine acquires 102,259 ETH as price plunges 5%
Ethereum treasury company BitMine Immersion scaled up its digital asset stash last week after acquiring 102,259 ETH since its last update. The purchase has increased the company's holdings to 3.96 million ETH, worth about $11.82 billion. BitMine aims to accumulate 5% of ETH's circulating supply.
NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates
The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers.
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