Order Flow Trader is an incredibly effective trading tool to use and simply by looking through the charts it is clear just how many fantastic moves it catches. The thing about Order Flow Trader is that it works brilliantly well in trending markets but not so well in range-bound markets which is where we start to see quite choppy price action and thus conflicting signals, as underlying market positioning adjusts and re-adjusts.
However there are some ways that we can increase the success of Order Flow Trader by filtering out some of the weaker signals. Here are a few tips & tricks to bare in mind when trading using Order Flow Trader.

1. Trade the Signal Bar Break

You will probably have heard this quite a lot if you’re familiar with my posts & videos as this is a favourite method of mine. Simply put, instead of just executing the trade once the signal bar has closed I look to see some continuation in price before entering.

How do we identify continuation?

If we see an OFT buy signal on a candle, I then want to see price break the high of the signal candle before executing my long trade and vice-versa for sell signals. This simple adjustment to how you use OFT can filter out a lot of weaker signals.

Look at the example below, we can see two great winning trades and one losing trade. Using the “bar break” method however, we avoid the losing trade.
Order Flow

2. Second candle close

If we think of executing on the signal candle close as being aggressive and entering on the signal candle break as being more conservative, then this approach is more conservative still. The idea here is not only to look for continuation in price but also confirmation.

How do we identify confirmation?

If we see an OFT buy signal on a candle I then want to see the second candle close above the high of the signal candle to execute my long trade and vice-versa for sell signals. So not only does price need to break the high of the candle, it also needs to close above it.

Look at the example below. We can see that by waiting for the second candle to close above the high of the signal candle (for buy signals) and below the low of the signal candle (for sell signals) we were able to avoid three weak signals and catch a nice winner.


Order Flow

3. Think About The Signal Candle

Some traders don’t have the time to spend in front of the charts to implement some of the other methods we’ve looked at, so here is a really quick method for identifying the signal as strong or weak.

One of the best ways to filter out weaker signals is simply to stop and think about the price action on your chart at the time of the signal. Now there are all sorts of different candlesticks we could examine here but I want to share with you just one, that through alot of time spent researching, trading and teaching the use of the indicator I feel is most important.

If we see an OFT buy signal on a bearish pin bar, avoid the signal. If we see an OFT sell signal on a bullish pin bar, avoid the signal.

Now this is my own personal preference for using OFT. There are occasions when we see an OFT buy signal and a bearish pin bar and price trades higher in line with the signal. This is fine, I accept that I can’t always be right, but what I always try to do is refine my methods and refine my trading to improve my success, so this is a method I choose to use.

Look at the example below. We can see that we get an OFT sell signal and a bullish pin bar, and price trades higher.

Order Flow


As I said, this isn’t always the case but I have found more often than not, this is a reliable way of filtering signals.

So hopefully this article has got you thinking a bit more strategically about how to trade the OFT signals. There are of course a vast amount of different period setting you can use to change signal frequency and to some extent strength, but hopefully these methods will help you no matter which time-frame or signal period setting you use.




Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD faces next resistance near 1.1930

EUR/USD faces next resistance near 1.1930

EUR/USD has surrendered its earlier intraday advance on Thursday and is now hovering uncomfortably around the 1.1860 region amid modest gains in the US Dolla. Moving forward, markets are exoected to closely follow Friday’s release of US CPI data.
 

GBP/USD inching closer to 1.36

GBP/USD inching closer to 1.36

The Pound Sterling edged higher to 1.3640 on Thursday, recovering from an earlier pullback after stronger-than-expected US jobs data initially weighed on the pair. The Bank of England held rates at 3.75% at its February 4 meeting in a narrow 5-4 vote split, with four members preferring a 25 basis point cut to 3.50%. 

USD/JPY recovers from two-week low ahead of US inflation data

USD/JPY recovers from two-week low ahead of US inflation data

The USD/JPY gains some positive traction during the Asian session, snapping a four-day losing streak amid some repositioning ahead of the US CPI report. Meanwhile, expectations that Japan's PM Sanae Takaichi could be more fiscally responsible, along with bets that the BoJ will stick to its policy normalization path and the risk-off mood, could support the safe-haven Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, on the other hand, struggles to attract buyers amid dovish Fed expectations and threats to the central bank's independence, which, in turn, should cap the currency pair.


Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD consolidates below 0.7100 as traders await US CPI report

AUD/USD consolidates below 0.7100 as traders await US CPI report

AUD/USD stalls the previous day's retracement slide from the vicinity of mid-0.7100s, or a three-year high, as traders move to the sidelines ahead of Friday's release of the US consumer inflation figures. In the meantime, the divergent RBA-Fed outlooks might continue to support spot prices amid subdued US Dollar demand, though the risk-off impulse could act as a headwind for the Aussie.

USD/JPY recovers from two-week low ahead of US inflation data

USD/JPY recovers from two-week low ahead of US inflation data

The USD/JPY gains some positive traction during the Asian session, snapping a four-day losing streak amid some repositioning ahead of the US CPI report. Meanwhile, expectations that Japan's PM Sanae Takaichi could be more fiscally responsible, along with bets that the BoJ will stick to its policy normalization path and the risk-off mood, could support the safe-haven Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, on the other hand, struggles to attract buyers amid dovish Fed expectations and threats to the central bank's independence, which, in turn, should cap the currency pair.

Gold falls to near $4,900 as selling pressure intensifies

Gold falls to near $4,900 as selling pressure intensifies

Gold price faces some selling pressure around $4,910 during the early Asian session on Friday. The yellow metal tumbles over 3.50% on the day, with algorithmic traders appearing to amplify the precious metal’s sudden drop. Traders will closely monitor the release of the US Consumer Price Index inflation report for January, which will be released later on Friday. 

Ethereum investors face huge unrealized losses following price slump

Ethereum investors face huge unrealized losses following price slump

US spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds flipped negative again on Wednesday after recording net outflows of $129.1 million, reversing mild inflows seen at the beginning of the week, per SoSoValue data. Fidelity's FETH was responsible for more than half of withdrawals, posting outflows of $67 million.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

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