FXStreet Expert Contributor
FXStreet
Each month in Munich, the IFO Institute for Economic Research releases the IFO business climate survey. This is one of the most important economic figures for many Forex traders. The IFO Report is a figure that measures the results of 7,000 questionnaires completed by major German companies. The report measures the sentiment of the current and near future business climates. German companies have three options for responses when filling out the current business climate section of this survey; Good, Satisfactory, and Poor. For the near term climate questionnaire the firms have the following three options; Most Favorable, Unchanged, and More Unfavorable.
Basic Categories of the IFO Report:
Manufacturing
Construction
Whole sale
Retail sale
Understanding the Statistic:
The baseline of the IFO report is 100 points, and each month the number can fluctuate by 100 points above or below this baseline figure.
- An IFO report reading of 100 shows that the business climate has remained neutral.
- An IFO report reading above 100 means that the business climate has become healthier. The higher the number, the healthier the business climate.
- A strong economy might lead to inflationary pressure, which will in turn cause the ECB to tighten the interest rate. In this scenario, a tighter interest rate will lead to an appreciation of the Euro.
- An IFO report reading that falls below 100 signifies an unfavorable business climate which could lead to an economic slowdown or recession. To keep away from a recession, the ECB may decide to cut interest rates, which will in turn lead to a depreciating Euro.
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EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800
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GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin
GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.
USD/JPY pierces the 156.00 level, trims early losses
The Japanese Yen recovered ground after kicking off the week in a soft tone, with USD/JPY currently trading a handful of pips below the 156.00 level. The Japanese Yen benefits from prevalent USD weakness and increasing risk-aversion.
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD struggles to reconquer the 0.6700 mark
The AUD/USD pair trades just below 0.6700 in the Asian session on Tuesday, trying to regain some ground after falling at the beginning of the week. The US Dollar benefited from a dismal mood, with a sell-off in tech shares leading an otherwise slow session.
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