What’s the difference between a mechanical and discretionary trading style anyway?
A purely mechanical system requires the trader to trust a system of signals based on price based indicators to give valid entry/exit points to produce profits over the long run. Since all you have to do is wait for a valid signal and take the trade, using a mechanical system can eliminate the psychological aspect (fear and greed) out of your trading decision. While trading emotion free can be great, the downside is that there will be times when the mechanical system gives trade signals that don’t jive with the current fundamental bias or market environment.On the other hand, a purely discretionary trading approach involves taking trades based on where your own analysis of fundamentals, price action, or risk sentiment. While this type of trading takes the current market environment into account, it could to lead to inconsistent results when applied by a trader easily influenced by emotions and/or personal biases.
How can a hybrid trading approach solve all that?
Hybrid trading combines the objective trading rules of a mechanical system with discretionary decisions of the trader based on dominant market themes, current risk sentiment, price action, and recent economic events.The advantage of using a hybrid system is that the system is developed on your understanding of the market and YOUR trading personality. Ideally, the system will incorporate the indicators and parameters that you are most comfortable with and intuitively understand.
By using a hybrid system, you can choose to take the trades that make the most sense. Remember that one drawback of taking a purely mechanical system is that it cannot distinguish between changing market environments.
Let’s say that the market has been ranging lately and you get a signal to go short. However, your system is a trend-following system and you feel that if you take the signal, you are just going to get chopped up. By incorporating a hybrid system, you can use your ability to adapt to the current market conditions to override the signal, therefore enhancing your system and avoiding possible losses.
Be careful though, as this is where it can be very tricky. If one were to simply override all the trade signals without any basis (like past price action), then what would be the point of having a system at all? Always keep in mind that the subjective part of a hybrid system is meant to compliment the system’s trading rules in order to maximize profits – not to ignore it completely!
Hmm, that sounds doable. So where do I start?
As tricky as the hybrid system can be, the preparation needed is pretty simple.You can begin by keeping a record of how price reacted to news reports, different market themes, and market structures. Documenting price action might be tedious and labor-intensive at first, but with A LOT of deliberate practice, it will help you develop a knack for spotting similar setups in the future. After all, the phrase “history repeats itself” didn’t become famous for no reason.
Of course, identifying similar setups is only half the battle. Since you’re combining mechanical AND discretionary trading, you also need to practice the subjective part of your decision-making.
One good way of preparing is by asking questions like “Is market environment the same as the past setup that I recorded? What will I do if price doesn’t react the same way?” By verifying your discretion with past price action, you can increase the probability of making good trade decisions with your hybrid trading approach.
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Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD consolidates below 0.7100 as traders await US CPI report
AUD/USD stalls the previous day's retracement slide from the vicinity of mid-0.7100s, or a three-year high, as traders move to the sidelines ahead of Friday's release of the US consumer inflation figures. In the meantime, the divergent RBA-Fed outlooks might continue to support spot prices amid subdued US Dollar demand, though the risk-off impulse could act as a headwind for the Aussie.
USD/JPY recovers from two-week low ahead of US inflation data
The USD/JPY gains some positive traction during the Asian session, snapping a four-day losing streak amid some repositioning ahead of the US CPI report. Meanwhile, expectations that Japan's PM Sanae Takaichi could be more fiscally responsible, along with bets that the BoJ will stick to its policy normalization path and the risk-off mood, could support the safe-haven Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, on the other hand, struggles to attract buyers amid dovish Fed expectations and threats to the central bank's independence, which, in turn, should cap the currency pair.
Gold falls to near $4,900 as selling pressure intensifies
Gold price faces some selling pressure around $4,910 during the early Asian session on Friday. The yellow metal tumbles over 3.50% on the day, with algorithmic traders appearing to amplify the precious metal’s sudden drop. Traders will closely monitor the release of the US Consumer Price Index inflation report for January, which will be released later on Friday.
Ethereum investors face huge unrealized losses following price slump
US spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds flipped negative again on Wednesday after recording net outflows of $129.1 million, reversing mild inflows seen at the beginning of the week, per SoSoValue data. Fidelity's FETH was responsible for more than half of withdrawals, posting outflows of $67 million.
A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness
Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.
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