What’s the difference between a mechanical and discretionary trading style anyway?
A purely mechanical system requires the trader to trust a system of signals based on price based indicators to give valid entry/exit points to produce profits over the long run. Since all you have to do is wait for a valid signal and take the trade, using a mechanical system can eliminate the psychological aspect (fear and greed) out of your trading decision. While trading emotion free can be great, the downside is that there will be times when the mechanical system gives trade signals that don’t jive with the current fundamental bias or market environment.On the other hand, a purely discretionary trading approach involves taking trades based on where your own analysis of fundamentals, price action, or risk sentiment. While this type of trading takes the current market environment into account, it could to lead to inconsistent results when applied by a trader easily influenced by emotions and/or personal biases.
How can a hybrid trading approach solve all that?
Hybrid trading combines the objective trading rules of a mechanical system with discretionary decisions of the trader based on dominant market themes, current risk sentiment, price action, and recent economic events.The advantage of using a hybrid system is that the system is developed on your understanding of the market and YOUR trading personality. Ideally, the system will incorporate the indicators and parameters that you are most comfortable with and intuitively understand.
By using a hybrid system, you can choose to take the trades that make the most sense. Remember that one drawback of taking a purely mechanical system is that it cannot distinguish between changing market environments.
Let’s say that the market has been ranging lately and you get a signal to go short. However, your system is a trend-following system and you feel that if you take the signal, you are just going to get chopped up. By incorporating a hybrid system, you can use your ability to adapt to the current market conditions to override the signal, therefore enhancing your system and avoiding possible losses.
Be careful though, as this is where it can be very tricky. If one were to simply override all the trade signals without any basis (like past price action), then what would be the point of having a system at all? Always keep in mind that the subjective part of a hybrid system is meant to compliment the system’s trading rules in order to maximize profits – not to ignore it completely!
Hmm, that sounds doable. So where do I start?
As tricky as the hybrid system can be, the preparation needed is pretty simple.You can begin by keeping a record of how price reacted to news reports, different market themes, and market structures. Documenting price action might be tedious and labor-intensive at first, but with A LOT of deliberate practice, it will help you develop a knack for spotting similar setups in the future. After all, the phrase “history repeats itself” didn’t become famous for no reason.
Of course, identifying similar setups is only half the battle. Since you’re combining mechanical AND discretionary trading, you also need to practice the subjective part of your decision-making.
One good way of preparing is by asking questions like “Is market environment the same as the past setup that I recorded? What will I do if price doesn’t react the same way?” By verifying your discretion with past price action, you can increase the probability of making good trade decisions with your hybrid trading approach.
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900
EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.
GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650
GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.
Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz
Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest
Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.
Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight
US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.
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