Daily Technical Outlook & Trading Ideals on USD/JPY: Aug 28, 2014


yen   DAILY USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
Last Update At 27 Aug 2014   23:56GMT

Trend Daily Chart
Up

Daily Indicators
Overbought

21 HR EMA
103.92

55 HR EMA
103.94

Trend Hourly Chart
Sideways

Hourly Indicators
Neutral

13 HR RSI
46

14 HR DMI
-ve

Daily Analysis
Consolidation n4 marginal rise

Resistance
104.88 - 1.618 times ext. of 101.07-103.15 fm 101.51
104.49 - Mon's NZ high (Reuters)
104.17 - Tue's NY high

Support
103.75 - Mon's low
103.50 - Last Fri's low
103.15 - Jul's high (30)


. USD/JPY - 103.90... The greenback remained under pressure y'day after
meeting renewed selling just below Tue's 104.17 high at Tokyo open, price then
ratcheted lower to 103.79 in NY morning n rebounding to 104.00. 

. Dlr's sideways move after rising to a 7-month peak of 104.49 Mon suggests
further choppy trading below this res wud continue, however, as long as near
term pivotal sup at 103.50 (last Fri's low) holds, recent erratic upmove fm
this year's low at 100.76 (Feb) shud resume after consolidation n abv 104.17 wud
add credence to this view n yield re-test of aforesaid top, abv wud encourage
for further gain twd 104.88 (1.618 times extension of 101.07-103.15 fm 101.51)
later. Looking ahead, as early breach of Apr's 104.13 high signals an 'upside
break' of the 7-month long broad sideways consolidation fm Jan's 5-year peak at
105.45 has taken place, price is en route to re-test said 2014 high at 105.45,
abv there wud encourage for gain twd the minimum triangle breakout obj. at
107.31 in late Sep. On the downside, below 103.50 risks retrace. to 103.15. 
 
. Today, we're holding a long position in anticipation of marginal gain abv
104.49 but 'bearish divergences' on hourly oscillators wud cap price at 104.88.  

yen

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