Key Risks Warn Against Chasing USDCHF Lower


Technical Bias: Neutral

Key Takeaways
  • Swiss franc continues to struggle against US dollar.
  • An important triangle to play a key role moving ahead for the USDCHF pair.
  • USDCHF support seen at 0.8980 and resistance ahead at 0.9020.

The US has been dollar consolidating against the Swiss franc just below a critical resistance zone, as the USDCHF awaits a short-term breakout.

Technical Analysis

There is a triangle forming on the hourly timeframe for the USDCHF pair with resistance around an important technical level. The triangle resistance area coincides with the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level of the last major drop from the 0.9040 high to 0.8905 low. The pair has struggled a lot of times around the mentioned resistance zone, but the bullish momentum remains intact in the short term. If the pair manages to climb higher, break the triangle resistance zone and settle above it, then it might open the doors for further upside acceleration towards the previous high, followed by the test of the 0.9060 level. The pair is trading above all three key simple moving averages on the hourly timeframe, which adds value to the bullish view moving ahead. 

Chart

On the downside, initial support can be seen around an important confluence zone of 100 and 50 hourly SMA, followed by the 200 hourly SMA. If sellers gain control, then a test of the triangle support area is possible in the short term. However, a break of triangle support area looks difficult as of now, as the sentiment still favors the US dollar against the Swiss franc. There are some important risk events scheduled during this week, which might act as a catalyst for the pair moving ahead. 

Overall, as long as the triangle support holds and RSI stays above the 50 level on the hourly timeframe, then more gains cannot be denied in the short term. 

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD consolidates weekly gains above 1.1150

EUR/USD consolidates weekly gains above 1.1150

EUR/USD moves up and down in a narrow channel slightly above 1.1150 on Friday. In the absence of high-tier macroeconomic data releases, comments from central bank officials and the risk mood could drive the pair's action heading into the weekend.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD stabilizes near 1.3300, looks to post strong weekly gains

GBP/USD stabilizes near 1.3300, looks to post strong weekly gains

GBP/USD trades modestly higher on the day near 1.3300, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales data for August. The pair remains on track to end the week, which featured Fed and BoE policy decisions, with strong gains. 

GBP/USD News
Gold extends rally to new record-high above $2,610

Gold extends rally to new record-high above $2,610

Gold (XAU/USD) preserves its bullish momentum and trades at a new all-time high above $2,610 on Friday. Heightened expectations that global central banks will follow the Fed in easing policy and slashing rates lift XAU/USD.

Gold News
Week ahead – SNB to cut again, RBA to stand pat, PCE inflation also on tap

Week ahead – SNB to cut again, RBA to stand pat, PCE inflation also on tap

SNB is expected to ease for third time; might cut by 50bps. RBA to hold rates but could turn less hawkish as CPI falls. After inaugural Fed cut, attention turns to PCE inflation.

Read more
Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July’s hike shocked markets

Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July’s hike shocked markets

The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its short-term interest rate target between 0.15% and 0.25% on Friday, following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy review. The decision is set to be announced during the early Asian session. 

Read more
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures