Raj Ian G Thijm, MBA
Raj Time and Cycles
In my last 6/10 blogpost, "I was looking for a 6/10 High+/-2 of the month, which was the 6/8 High"
From the Raj T&C 6/13 Weekend Email: "The Dominant Cycle 6/10 cycle High arrived 2 days earlier at the 6/8H and is looking for a straight down decline into 6/17 Low, then a sharp rally into 6/22 High at the 2100-05 SPX area and then another sharp decline into 6/24 Low at 2025-30 SPX"
Actual: From the 6/8 High, we saw a straight down decline into 6/16 Low, 1 day earlier, at 2050.37 SPX, reversed and saw a sharp rally into 6/23 High, 1 day later, at 2113.32 SPX, only to see a sharp reversal back lower to a 6/24 Low at 2032.57 SPX so far.
The Golden ratio fixed Cycle suggests a 6/25 Low, supporting the dominant cycle.
Golden ratio 1618 CD Cycle of Lows: 10/10/02L 1616- 03/14/07L - 1618- 08/20/11L-1614- 01/20/16L
Golden ratio 1618 CD Cycle of Lows: 10/08/98L-1616- 03/12/03L -1618- 08/16/07L-1618 X 2 = 06/25/16L?
What's next: The dominant cycle is looking for a 6/24-27 swing Low at the 6/27 Geometric Time CIT, chop around and then start a new rally phase.
Trading in Stocks, ETF, Options and Futures involve risks. Trade at your own Risk. Do your own homework. The contents of this blog are for general information and educational purposes only and should not be construed as an investment advice strategy. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD looks vacillating around 1.1800
EUR/USD alternates gains with losses around the 1.1800 neighbourhood amid marginal gains at the end of the week. The pair’s tepid move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the irresolute price action in the US Dollar.
GBP/USD slips back to daily lows near 1.3450
GBP/USD trades on the back foot on Friday, adding to Thursday’s losses around the 1.3450 region. Cable’s move lower comes amid the lacklustre performance of the Greenback in a context of a wide spread absence of volatility.
Japanese Yen gives back half of early gains against USD ahead of US PPI data
The Japanese Yen (JPY) surrenders half of its early gains against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday. The USD/JPY pair rebounds to near 155.90 as the JPY falls back, but is still 0.15% down.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD looks vacillating around 1.1800
EUR/USD alternates gains with losses around the 1.1800 neighbourhood amid marginal gains at the end of the week. The pair’s tepid move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the irresolute price action in the US Dollar.
GBP/USD slips back to daily lows near 1.3450
GBP/USD trades on the back foot on Friday, adding to Thursday’s losses around the 1.3450 region. Cable’s move lower comes amid the lacklustre performance of the Greenback in a context of a wide spread absence of volatility.
Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200
Gold adds to the ongoing recovery, up for the third day in a row and surpassing the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The relentless uptick in the precious metal remains bolstered by steady geopolitical tensions and persistent uncertainty surrounding the US trade policy.
Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias
Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary.
Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments
The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.
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