Today, the Bank of England (BoE) decided not to affect interest rates. They based this on their inflationary outlook of the economy. If interest rates had been raised (they weren’t), it would have been seen as good for the economy and bullish for the market. Then, the GBP may have become stronger against other currencies. 

This afternoon’s announcement from the BoE was pre-scheduled and the consensus was that the interest rate would stay at 0.5%. This is what the BoE did announce. But as we had seen from Australia earlier this week, when the Reserve Bank cut interest rates and devalued the Australian dollar (AUD), countries are looking to their long-term economic policy which can lead to unforeseen announcements and market movements.

As a company, investor, or trader, how can you protect yourself if you know an interest rate announcement is coming? You can hedge using option contracts. 

 

What is a hedge? 

A hedge is an investment position intended to offset potential losses which may be incurred by an adverse move in the market.

A good hedging tool is a vanilla option. You would use the option to neutralize your overall risk. For example, if you had an open long position in GBP/USD before the announcement, you could open a buy Put in GBP/USD. If the market rate falls, the Put will payout covering any loss from the long GBP/USD position. On the other hand, if you have an open short position in GBP/USD before the announcement, you could open a buy Call in GBP/USD. If the market rate rises, the Call will payout covering any loss from the short GBP/USD position. 

For more information on the payouts of Puts and Calls visit my lessons: The Call Option and The Put Option.

 

How to execute a hedge using options?

Most interest rate announcements are scheduled and if you want to protect your foreign-exchange investment with a hedge, it can be done. Just like taking out insurance against your investment, you can use options as insurance against a movement in the market shifting out of your favour. 

Let’s look at both scenarios – You hold either a buy or sell position with a profit and don’t want to close it before the announcement. You pay a premium to buy an option for both Calls and Puts. The premium of the option is the cost of the hedge.

You have an open buy GBP/USD position:

Assuming you held a long 100,000 GBP/USD spot position from 1.5000 and the current price is 1.5250, you would be in profit by $2500 (100,000 x 0.0250). To lock-in this profit without closing the trade, you could hedge by buying a Put with a strike of 1.5250 and amount of 100,000 as displayed in the diagram below.

GBPUSD


If the market price continues to go up, your long 100,000 GBP/USD position will make $10 for every 1-point increase in the underlying market (100,000 x 0.0001 = $10). If the market falls, your GBP/USD position will lose $10 for every 1 point down, but the Put option will payout and cover (or hedge) any loss.

You have an open sell GBP/USD position: 

Assuming you held a sell 100,000 GBP/USD spot position from 1.5500 and the current price is 1.5250, you would be in profit by $2500 (100,000 x 0.0250). To lock-in this profit without closing the trade, you could hedge by buying a Call with a strike of 1.5250 and amount of 100,000 as displayed in the diagram below.

GBPUSD


If the market price continues to go down, your short 100,000 GBP/USD position will make $10 for every 1-point decrease in the underlying market (100,000 x 0.0001 = $10). If the market rises, your GBP/USD position will lose $10 for every 1 point down, but the Call option will payout and cover (or hedge) any loss.

 


The content provided is made available to you by ORE Tech Ltd for educational purposes only, and does not constitute any recommendation and/or proposal regarding the performance and/or avoidance of any transaction (whether financial or not), and does not provide or intend to provide any basis of assumption and/or reliance to any such transaction.

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

USD/JPY edges up above 153.50 with all eyes on US CPI figures

USD/JPY edges up above 153.50 with all eyes on US CPI figures

USD/JPY appreciates above 153.00 but remains on track for a 2.4% weekly loss. Trading volumes remain subdued on Friday, ahead of the IS CPI release. The Yen remains supported by hopes of a stable government and calls for further BoJ tightening.


Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD: Yes, the US economy is resilient – No, that won’t save the US Dollar

EUR/USD: Yes, the US economy is resilient – No, that won’t save the US Dollar Premium

Some impressive US data should have resulted in a much stronger USD. Well, it didn’t happen. The EUR/USD pair closed a third consecutive week little changed, a handful of pips above the 1.1800 mark. 

Gold: Metals remain vulnerable to broad market mood

Gold: Metals remain vulnerable to broad market mood Premium

Gold (XAU/USD) started the week on a bullish note and climbed above $5,000 before declining sharply and erasing its weekly gains on Thursday, only to recover heading into the weekend. 

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling remains below 1.3700 ahead of UK inflation test

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling remains below 1.3700 ahead of UK inflation test Premium

The Pound Sterling (GBP) failed to resist at higher levels against the US Dollar (USD), but buyers held their ground amid a US data-busy blockbuster week.

Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet

Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet

Bitcoin (BTC) price slips below $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, remaining under pressure and extending losses of nearly 5% so far this week.

US Dollar: Big in Japan

US Dollar: Big in Japan Premium

The US Dollar (USD) resumed its yearly downtrend this week, slipping back to two-week troughs just to bounce back a tad in the second half of the week.

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