While significant market movements are an opportunity for traders in the forex market, other long-term investors dislike high market volatility because of the risk that it poses. They have a relatively straightforward goal – to generate reasonable long-term profits while minimizing risk. Because of this, diversification is a key part of their portfolio strategy. The idea behind diversification is that while particular market events and global socioeconomic trends can damage individual equities – or even entire market sectors – the same events or trends will have a positive effect on other equities, offsetting losses. For example, bonds are often a good hedge against stock market declines.

In fact, stock investors are increasingly using currencies to hedge against risks with their stock portfolios. However, the problem with doing this is they have to manage their currency and stock investments separately, making this sort of diversification difficult to handle. New currency exchange-traded funds (ETFs) eliminate this problem. With a currency ETF, an ETF management firm buys currency pairs and holds them in a fund. The firm then sells shares in the ETF to individual investors, who can then buy and sell them in just the way that they buy and sell stocks. As the currency pair arises, the corresponding share price rises in tandem, and the share price falls as the currency falls.  

To understand why investors are interested in using currencies rather than just buying other shares, it is important to know the different types of risk in the stock market. The first is what is known as idiosyncratic risk – the risk that any particular stock will fall. For instance, if a company reports poor results, the stock price will typically fall, even if its competitors are doing well. This type of risk can be managed by buying a broader basket of stocks. However, there is also systematic risk – the risk that the entire stock market will fall. You only need to look at the initial effects of the recent world economic crisis to see this type of risk in action.  

Buying a broader range of stocks doesn’t combat systemic risk. However, investing in currencies can do exactly this. For example, consider the Swiss franc. In general, history has shown that the Swiss franc rises against the US dollar when bond yields fall. Since falling bond yields generally happen when the stock market falls, holding a position in CHF/USD can hedge against the risk of a bear market. Similarly, the Canadian dollar tends to rise as oil prices rise, since Canada is a major oil producer. Because of this, investing in a CAD/USD ETF can be used to hedge against the impact of higher energy prices on the stock market.


Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stays well offered below 1.1800

EUR/USD stays well offered below 1.1800

The selling pressure on EUR/USD is picking up pace, with the pair slipping decisively below the key 1.1800 level and sliding to fresh two week lows as Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The move lower comes as the US Dollar finds renewed strength after the latest round of US data and the release of the FOMC Minutes. Next of note on the docket will be the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims.
 

GBP/USD reaches multi-day lows near 1.3500

GBP/USD reaches multi-day lows near 1.3500

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, approaching the 1.3500 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

USD/JPY holds gains near 154.00 ahead of the Fed’s minutes

USD/JPY holds gains near 154.00 ahead of the Fed’s minutes

USD/JPY retraces Tuesday's losses and returns near weekly highs in the area of 154.00. The US Dollar trims losses in quiet markets with all eyes on the Fed's minutes. Weak Japanese GDP data resurfaced concerns about Japan's fiscal stability and halted JPY's recovery.


Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD: Further weakness could retest 0.7000

AUD/USD: Further weakness could retest 0.7000

AUD/USD resumes its decline, leaving behind two daily gains in a row and approaching the area of multi-day lows in the 0.7040-0.7030 band ahead of the opening bell in Asia. Moving forward, the Aussie is expected to remain under scrutiny in light of the publication of the jobs report in Australia.
 

EUR/USD stays well offered below 1.1800

EUR/USD stays well offered below 1.1800

The selling pressure on EUR/USD is picking up pace, with the pair slipping decisively below the key 1.1800 level and sliding to fresh two week lows as Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The move lower comes as the US Dollar finds renewed strength after the latest round of US data and the release of the FOMC Minutes. Next of note on the docket will be the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims.
 

Gold battle to regain $5,000 continues

Gold battle to regain $5,000 continues

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and challenging two-day highs near the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Australia unemployment rate set to edge up within overall strong labor market

Australia unemployment rate set to edge up within overall strong labor market

The Australian monthly employment report is scheduled for release on Thursday at 00:30 GMT, and market participants anticipate a modest increase in jobs in January. The Australian Bureau of Statistics is expected to announce that the country added 20K new jobs in the month, while the Unemployment Rate is forecast at 4.2%, up from the 4.1% posted in December.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

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