Different hours of the day are characterized with different market behavior. This depends on the volume and also on the economic indicators that are released in every country.
Here are some better time spans to trade, in hours which see less surprises:
Times are GMT, during the winter in the northern hemisphere. For summer times, just subtract one hour.
What are your preferred times for trading? Do you prefer surprises or quiet times?
Here are some better time spans to trade, in hours which see less surprises:
Times are GMT, during the winter in the northern hemisphere. For summer times, just subtract one hour.
- 3:15 to 5:00 – Unless there is a rate decision in Australia, these hours are quiet. Traders in Tokyo are not as enthusiastic as at the beginning of the session, Australian data is already out and the occasional Chinese data news release is also behind. The only potential risk is a rate decision in Japan, but this usually comes at a later hour. Europe is fast asleep.
- 10:15 to 13:00: Up to 10:00, traders in London are more alert, especially at the beginning of the session. In addition, most UK data is released at 9:30, and European data releases (which are more spread out), are usually released up to 10:00 (ZEW for example). By 10:15, reactions to the data have already been made, and trading remains active, yet without too many surprises. At 13:00, traders in New York are already ready and potential surprises can be seen at 13:30, when the US releases data.
- 23:00 to 1:00: After the US session closes, some caution is warranted. Liquidity is low and this is a good time for rating agencies to surprise markets with credit downgrades. Too often, these publications were made after markets closed in the US, but usually not long afterwards. However, by 23:00, it is reasonable to expect that thing will calm down and remain quiet until data is released in Australia and Japan.
What are your preferred times for trading? Do you prefer surprises or quiet times?
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD breaks below 1.1800, two-week lows
EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, breaching below the key 1.1800 yardstick to hit new two-week troughs on Wednesday. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and ahead of the publication of the FOMC Minutes.
GBP/USD reaches multi-day lows near 1.3500
GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, approaching the 1.3500 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.
USD/JPY holds gains near 154.00 ahead of the Fed’s minutes
USD/JPY retraces Tuesday's losses and returns near weekly highs in the area of 154.00. The US Dollar trims losses in quiet markets with all eyes on the Fed's minutes. Weak Japanese GDP data resurfaced concerns about Japan's fiscal stability and halted JPY's recovery.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD breaks below 1.1800, two-week lows
EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, breaching below the key 1.1800 yardstick to hit new two-week troughs on Wednesday. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and ahead of the publication of the FOMC Minutes.
GBP/USD reaches multi-day lows near 1.3500
GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, approaching the 1.3500 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.
Gold battle to regain $5,000 continues
Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and challenging two-day highs near the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.
Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook
The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.
Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England
Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.
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