- Stop Being Reflexively Contrarian
In trading, not just currency trading but any market activity, the iconoclast gets few rewards. Markets are not mechanism for arriving at economic truths. There is no correct level for the euro or the yen only a price related to information and market positioning. Although there are instances where markets have been predictably obtuse and vast profits were made on the opposite tack, the sub-prime market in 2007 and 2008 is the best recent example of that. Most of those earnings were made in synthetic positions that became impossible to recreate once the market started to move. In currency trading, where any participant may join any move at any time, the most profitable tactic, though not perhaps the most emotionally rewarding, is allied to the general view. Look to the arts for emotional rewards, in trading only profits count.
- Remember that in Writing the Hardest Part is Starting
- Give More of Myself
Joseph Trevisani began his twenty-four year career in the financial markets at Credit Suisse in New York and Singapore where he worked for 12 years as an interbank currency trader and trading desk manager. Returning from Asia he moved to Bermuda and managed the Asian Trading desk and was a proprietary currency trader for The Bank of Bermuda in Hamilton. Mr. Trevisani joined the on-line financial industry in 2001 as one of the founding partners of FX Solutions. Over ten years he served as in turn as Chief Dealer, Head of Institutional Sales and Chief Market Analyst. He joined Worldwide Markets in 2012 as Chief Market Strategist. [More about Joseph Trevisani]
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD trades with negative bias, holds above 1.0700 as traders await US PCE Price Index
EUR/USD edges lower during the Asian session on Friday and moves away from a two-week high, around the 1.0740 area touched the previous day. Spot prices trade around the 1.0725-1.0720 region and remain at the mercy of the US Dollar price dynamics ahead of the crucial US data.
GBP/USD trades on a softer note below 1.2530 ahead of US PCE data
GBP/USD trades on a weaker note around 1.2502 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The modest rebound of the US Dollar weighs on the major pair despite weaker US GDP growth numbers. The US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data on Friday will be in the spotlight.
USD/JPY jumps above 156.00 on BoJ's steady policy
USD/JPY has come under intense buying pressure, surging past 156.00 after the Bank of Japan kept the key rate unchanged but tweaked its policy statement. The BoJ maintained its fiscal year 2024 and 2025 core inflation forecasts, disappointing the Japanese Yen buyers.
Editors’ Picks
USD/JPY jumps above 156.00 on BoJ's steady policy
USD/JPY has come under intense buying pressure, surging past 156.00 after the Bank of Japan kept the key rate unchanged but tweaked its policy statement. The BoJ maintained its fiscal year 2024 and 2025 core inflation forecasts, disappointing the Japanese Yen buyers.
AUD/USD consolidates gains above 0.6500 after Australian PPI data
AUD/USD is consolidating gains above 0.6500 in Asian trading on Friday. The pair capitalizes on an annual increase in Australian PPI data. Meanwhile, a softer US Dollar and improving market mood also underpin the Aussie ahead of the US PCE inflation data.
Gold price flatlines as traders look to US PCE Price Index for some meaningful impetus
Gold price lacks any firm intraday direction and is influenced by a combination of diverging forces. The weaker US GDP print and a rise in US inflation benefit the metal amid subdued USD demand. Hawkish Fed expectations cap the upside as traders await the release of the US PCE Price Index.
Sei Price Prediction: SEI is in the zone of interest after a 10% leap
Sei price has been in recovery mode for almost ten days now, following a fall of almost 65% beginning in mid-March. While the SEI bulls continue to show strength, the uptrend could prove premature as massive bearish sentiment hovers above the altcoin’s price.
US economy: Slower growth with stronger inflation
The US Dollar strengthened, and stocks fell after statistical data from the US. The focus was on the preliminary estimate of GDP for the first quarter. Annualised quarterly growth came in at just 1.6%, down from the 2.5% and 3.4% previously forecast.
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