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EUR/USD

EURUSD

Consolidating.

  • EUR/USD is still in a downside momentum but is now consolidating. Yet, the technical structure is clearly negative. The pair lies above 1.0600. Hourly resistance can be found at 1.0897 (05/11/2015 high). Stronger resistance stands at 1.1095 (28/10/2015 high). Expected further consolidation of the pair.

  • In the longer term, the technical structure favours a bearish bias as long as resistance holds. Key resistance is located region at 1.1453 (range high) and 1.1640 (11/11/2005 low) is likely to cap any price appreciation. The current technical deteriorations favours a gradual decline towards the support at 1.0504 (21/03/2003 low).


GBP/USD

GBPUSD

Sideways price action.

  • GBP/USD is now pausing. Hourly support can be found at 1.5027 (06/11/2015 low). Hourly resistance lies at 1.5264 (13/11/2015 high). Stronger resistance can be found at 1.5529 (22/09/2015 high). Expected to show continued decline as the lower highs suggest a declining trend.

  • The long-term technical pattern is negative and favours a further decline towards the key support at 1.5089 , as long as prices remain below the resistance at 1.5340/64 (04/11/2015 low see also the 200 day moving average). However, the general oversold conditions and the recent pick-up in buying interest pave the way for a rebound.


USD/JPY

USDJPY

Fading below resistance at 123.60.

  • USD/JPY is strengthening and remains in an uptrend channel. Hourly resistance lies at 123.60 (09/11/2015 high). The short-term technical structure favours a further rise. Strong support lies at 120.80 (22/10/2015 low). Expected further test of the hourly resistance at 123.60.

  • A long-term bullish bias is favored as long as the strong support at 115.57 (16/12/2014 low) holds. A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 135.15 (01/02/2002 high) is favored. A key support can be found at 116.18 (24/08/2015 low).


USD/CHF

USDCHF

Pushing higher.

  • USD/CHF is increasing confirming persistent buying interest. The pair is riding a uptrend channel. Hourly support is given at 0.9944 (06/11/2015 low) and resistance can be found at 1.0171 (intraday high). Expected to further consolidate.

  • In the long-term, the pair has broken resistance at 0.9448 and key resistance at 0.9957 suggesting further uptrend. Key support can be found 0.8986 (30/01/2015 low). As long as these levels hold, a long term bullish bias is favoured.


USD/CAD

USDCAD

Moving sideways.

  • USD/CAD remains in an upside momentum. Resistance can be found at 1.3371 (06/11/2015 high) has been broken. Significant supports stand at 1.3225 (12/11/2015 low). Expected to bounce on the lower bound implied by the uptrend channel.

  • In the longer term, the break of the key resistance at 1.3065 (13/03/2009 high) has indicated increasing buying pressures, which favours further medium-term strengthening. Support can be found at 1.2832 (15/10/2015 low) then 1.1731 (06/01/2015 low).


AUD/USD

AUDUSD

Riding downtrend channel.

  • AUD/USD is still in a downtrend channel. Hourly support lies at 0.7017 (08/11/2015 low). Hourly resistance can be found at 0.7159 (13/11/2015 high). Expected to show continued weakness.

  • In the long-term, there is no sign to suggest the end of the current downtrend. Key supports stand at 0.6009 (31/10/2008 low) . A break of the key resistance at 0.8295 (15/01/2015 high) is needed to invalidate our long-term bearish view. In addition, we still note that the pair remains well below the 200-dma which confirms selling pressures.


EUR/CHF

EURCHF

Sideways price action.

  • EUR/CHF is still trading around 1.0800. In addition, a bearish bias is favoured given the recent lower highs. Hourly support lies at 1.0733 (28/08/2015 low). Resistance can be found at 1.0908 (declining channel resistance). Expected to monitor 1.0700.

  • In the longer term, the technical structure remains negative as long as prices remain below the resistance at 1.1002 (02/09/2011 low). The ECB's QE programme is likely to cause persistent selling pressures on the euro, which should weigh on EUR/CHF. Supports can be found at 1.0184 (28/01/2015 low) and 1.0082 (27/01/2015 low).


EUR/JPY

EURJPY

Ready to target support at 130.65.

  • EUR/JPY keeps on declining. The pair is now monitoring the lower bound implied by the downtrend channel. Hourly resistance lies at 133.39 (30/10/2015 high). Stronger resistance is located at 137.45 (17/09/2015 high). Expected test of support at 130.65 (15/11/2015 low).

  • In the longer term, the break of the support at 130.15 validates a medium-term succession of lower highs and lower lows. As a result, the resistance at 149.78 (08/12/2014 high) has likely marked the end of the rise that started in July 2012. Key supports stand at 124.97 (13/06/2013 low) and 118.73 (25/02/2013 low). A key resistance can be found at 141.06 (04/06/2015 high).


EUR/GBP

EURGBP

Declining.

  • EUR/GBP keeps on weakening. The technical structure shows a clear negative pattern. Hourly support lies at at 0.6984 (17/11/2015 low) has been broken. Resistance can be found at 0.7199 (30/10/2015 high). Expected to fall back below 0.7000.

  • In the long-term, prices are in an underlying declining trend. The general oversold conditions suggest a limited medium-term downside potential. A key resistance lies at 0.7592 (03/02/2015 high).


GOLD (in USD)

Gold

Targeting 5-year low.

  • Gold is weakening. The short-term technical structure still suggests a negative momentum and the metal is at its lowest level since february 2010. On the other side, hourly resistance is given at 1110 (06/11/2015 high). Expected to show continued weakness.

  • In the long-term, the underlying downtrend (see declining channel) continues to favour a bearish bias. A break of the resistance at 1223 is needed to suggest something more than a temporary rebound. A major support can be found at 1045 (05/02/2010 low).


SILVER (in USD)

Silver

Moving sideways.

  • Silver's medium-term trend is still negative. Yet, the metal always stands above 14.00. The resistance at 15.45 (declining channel) has thus far held. Expected to show continued weakness toward hourly support at 13.98 (26/08/2015 low).

  • In the long-term, the break of the major support area between 18.64 (30/05/2014 low) and 18.22 (28/06/2013 low) confirms an underlying downtrend. The strong support at 14.66 (05/02/2010 low) has been broken and prices have then consolidated. A key resistance stands at 18.89 (16/09/2014 high).


Crude Oil (in USD)

Crude Oil

Trading in range.

  • Crude oil has bounced from hourly support at 40.06 (16/11/2015 low). Resistance lies at 42.25 (16/11/2015 high). The medium-term technical structure is clearly negative in a context of oil oversupply. Expected to show continued weakness.

  • In the long-term, crude oil has not shown signs of recovery. Strong support lies at 37.75 (24/08/2015) and 32.40 (18/08/2015 low). Expect Nonetheless, crude oil is holding way below its 200-Day Moving Average (setting up at 50). Any break of the resistance at 60.72 (05/07/2015) would confirm an underlying uptrend.

This report has been prepared by Swissquote Bank Ltd and is solely been published for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any currency or any other financial instrument. Views expressed in this report may be subject to change without prior notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by Swissquote Bank Ltd personnel at any given time. Swissquote Bank Ltd is under no obligation to update or keep current the information herein, the report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.

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