Trading opportunities for currency pair: a W-shape pattern is just about formed. If the US Fed raises rates on 16th December, the USD/SEK will head to 9.4794. It has until April 2016 to reach the target. The interim target is at 9.3259 (March 2009 maximum). Growth will cancel if the weekly candle closes below 8.4933. Following a rebound from 8.83, I will be waiting for a return to 8.18 along the same W-shaped pattern.

Background:

The last USD/SEK idea I made came out on 26th October. The rate at that time stood at 8.4945. I was waiting for the dollar to strengthen to 8.8359 along the W-shaped pattern. The target still hasn’t been reached. In actual fact, the USD/SEK lifted to 8.7824.

As things are at the moment:

So what should we do if it reaches 8.8359? Market participants are expecting the US Fed to put up their rates. On the 4th December a US labour market report will be out. After the trading session closes on Friday, ready yourself for a break in the 8.88 resistance or the formation of an inverted candle combination (bounce from the resistance).

If the US Fed raises rates on 16th December, the USD/SEK will head to 9.4794. The interim target in this case will be 9.3259 (March 2009 maximum). If we see a rebound from 8.83, I’ll be expecting a return of the rate to 8.18 along the same W-shaped pattern.

USDSEK

Forecasts which are made in the review constitute the personal view of the author. Commentaries made do not constitute trade recommendations or guidance for working on financial markets. Alpari bears no responsibility whatsoever for any possible losses (or other forms of damage), whether direct or indirect, which may occur in case of using material published in the review

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD turns negative near 1.0760

EUR/USD turns negative near 1.0760

The sudden bout of strength in the Greenback sponsored the resurgence of the selling pressure in the risk complex, dragging EUR/USD to the area of daily lows near 1.0760.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD comes under pressure and challenges 1.2500

GBP/USD comes under pressure and challenges 1.2500

GBP/USD now rapidly loses momentum and gives away initial gains, returning to the 1.2500 region on the back of the strong comeback of the US Dollar.

GBP/USD News

Gold retreats from highs on stronger Dollar, yields

Gold retreats from highs on stronger Dollar, yields

XAU/USD trims part of its initial advance in response to the jump in the Dollar's buying interest and the re-emergence of the upside pressure in US yields.

Gold News

XRP tests support at $0.50 as Ripple joins alliance to work on blockchain recovery

XRP tests support at $0.50 as Ripple joins alliance to work on blockchain recovery

XRP trades around $0.5174 early on Friday, wiping out gains from earlier in the week, as Ripple announced it has joined an alliance to support digital asset recovery alongside Hedera and the Algorand Foundation. 

Read more

Week ahead – US inflation numbers to shake Fed rate cut bets

Week ahead – US inflation numbers to shake Fed rate cut bets

Fed rate-cut speculators rest hopes on US inflation data. After dovish BoE, pound traders turn to UK job numbers. Will a strong labor market convince the RBA to hike? More Chinese data on tap amid signs of slow Q2 start.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures