Trading opportunities for currency pair: after a correctional movement, a growth for the dollar against the yen to 124.30/50 is expected due to Fed rate hike expectations for December.

Background:

The last USD/JPY idea I did came out on 26th October. The price at the moment of publication was 121.46. I expected to see a break in the 121.68 resistance before the FOMC meeting (28th October) and then a subsequent growth to the 123.48-124.51 target zone.

The 123.48 price level was reached on 9th November after the NFP on the previous Friday came out. The Non-Farm Payrolls report increased the likelihood of a US Fed rate hike at the meeting to take place in December.

As things are at the moment:

Forex trader market activity is down after the payrolls. The dollar/yen has corrected from 123.06 to 122.44.

What’s of interest at the moment?

Janet Yellen’s rhetoric disappointed the dollar bulls. On Thursday (12th November) we were waiting to hear hints from her about a rate hike by the FOMC in December; this didn’t happen.

The daily indicators are showing that the dollar’s growth against the yen hasn’t yet finished. After 123.60 is reached, the next target is 124.30/50. The trend line (125.85 and 125.27 maximums) passes through this price level.

USDJPY

Forecasts which are made in the review constitute the personal view of the author. Commentaries made do not constitute trade recommendations or guidance for working on financial markets. Alpari bears no responsibility whatsoever for any possible losses (or other forms of damage), whether direct or indirect, which may occur in case of using material published in the review

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD turns negative near 1.0760

EUR/USD turns negative near 1.0760

The sudden bout of strength in the Greenback sponsored the resurgence of the selling pressure in the risk complex, dragging EUR/USD to the area of daily lows near 1.0760.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD comes under pressure and challenges 1.2500

GBP/USD comes under pressure and challenges 1.2500

GBP/USD now rapidly loses momentum and gives away initial gains, returning to the 1.2500 region on the back of the strong comeback of the US Dollar.

GBP/USD News

Gold retreats from highs on stronger Dollar, yields

Gold retreats from highs on stronger Dollar, yields

XAU/USD trims part of its initial advance in response to the jump in the Dollar's buying interest and the re-emergence of the upside pressure in US yields.

Gold News

XRP tests support at $0.50 as Ripple joins alliance to work on blockchain recovery

XRP tests support at $0.50 as Ripple joins alliance to work on blockchain recovery

XRP trades around $0.5174 early on Friday, wiping out gains from earlier in the week, as Ripple announced it has joined an alliance to support digital asset recovery alongside Hedera and the Algorand Foundation. 

Read more

Week ahead – US inflation numbers to shake Fed rate cut bets

Week ahead – US inflation numbers to shake Fed rate cut bets

Fed rate-cut speculators rest hopes on US inflation data. After dovish BoE, pound traders turn to UK job numbers. Will a strong labor market convince the RBA to hike? More Chinese data on tap amid signs of slow Q2 start.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures