The GBP/USD pair hit fresh 7-year low of 1.4057 on Monday on Brexit fears, before profit taking helped Sterling recover to 1.4168 levels in the NY session. However, the bears were back in the Asian session today and pushed the pair back to 1.4090. As of now, the pair is trading above 1.4100 with traders focused on Brexit related news flow.
_20160223092326.png "GBPUSD")
Brexit is a bigger threat than last year’s election
Ratings agencies have repeatedly said Brexit is a bigger threat to UK than last year’s general elections. In fact, Moody’s had warned last year in April that the prospect of Britain leaving the European Union could cause more damage to the country's credit rating than uncertainty over the outcome of the elections. Warning shots were fired again yesterday, courtesy of which Sterling hit a fresh 7-year low.Eyes Carney’s Testimony
BOE’s Mark Carney will testify to UK lawmakers on the Inflation Report. Annual Reports from Minouche Shafik & Martin Weale are also on the agenda. Given the Brexit is the hottest thing on the wires now, the lawmakers are likely to question BOE’s Carney about the possible effect of Brexit on the UK economy. Carney is likely to come out in support of EU membership and that may help Pound gain ground. However, GBP bulls need to be cautious as Carney may indirectly point to Brexit as a hurdle in BOE’s plans to raise rates.Technicals – Strong resistance at 1.4175
- Sterling’s failure to 1.4072 levels despite three consecutive red candles on the 4-hr chart, if followed by a recovery above 1.4120 has opened doors for a re-test of the falling channel resistance at 1.4175.
- An hourly close above 1.4175 could see the spot extend gains to 1.42-1.4220 levels.
- On the other hand, a failure to sustain above 1.4090 would open doors for a drop to 1.4057, under which losses could be extended to 1.40 handle.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD consolidates weekly gains above 1.1150
EUR/USD moves up and down in a narrow channel slightly above 1.1150 on Friday. In the absence of high-tier macroeconomic data releases, comments from central bank officials and the risk mood could drive the pair's action heading into the weekend.
GBP/USD stabilizes near 1.3300, looks to post strong weekly gains
GBP/USD trades modestly higher on the day near 1.3300, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales data for August. The pair remains on track to end the week, which featured Fed and BoE policy decisions, with strong gains.
Gold extends rally to new record-high above $2,610
Gold (XAU/USD) preserves its bullish momentum and trades at a new all-time high above $2,610 on Friday. Heightened expectations that global central banks will follow the Fed in easing policy and slashing rates lift XAU/USD.
Week ahead – SNB to cut again, RBA to stand pat, PCE inflation also on tap
SNB is expected to ease for third time; might cut by 50bps. RBA to hold rates but could turn less hawkish as CPI falls. After inaugural Fed cut, attention turns to PCE inflation.
Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July’s hike shocked markets
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its short-term interest rate target between 0.15% and 0.25% on Friday, following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy review. The decision is set to be announced during the early Asian session.
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know
VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.