EUR/USD Forecast: German inflation to set the tone


Swiss Franc weakness is once again giving the EUR a lift, with the EUR/USD pair trading around 1.1300 as the EUR/CHF surges again above 1.0300. German unemployment rate fell to 6.5% in January, the lowest in record, whilst the number of people out of work declined by 8.9K against an expected drop of 10K. In a couple of hours, Germany will release its local inflation figures, expected quite negative both monthly and yearly basis. The EUR/USD pair is on hold ahead of the news, as another positive reading from Germany main help the pair continue advancing. 

Technically, the 4 hours chart shows that the price struggles around the 38.2% retracement of the latest bearish run at 1.1305 where the pair also has its 20 SMA. Indicators had corrected overbought conditions now bouncing from their midlines, leaving a mild bullish short term tone. Some follow through above the current level, particularly if German inflation beats expectations, should see the pair advancing up to 1.1365, while if above this last, next bullish target comes at 1.1400. The daily low stands at 1.1261, but it will take a break below 1.1250, 23.6% retracement of the same rally, to confirm a downward continuation towards the 1.1200 figure.

View Live Chart for EUR/USD


e







Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses. 

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures