Double Bottom:
The NZD/USD is forming a mini-price bottom (double bottom) in the 4H chart. This is after a week of key US data, which collectively failed to impress, though they were decent. The lack of fundamental fuel opens up room for some USD-consolidation. In the NZD/USD, this means upside toward the 0.8575-0.86 area in the upcoming week. But before of the prevailing downtrend, we should keep the bullish outlook to the short-term.
NZD/USD 4H Chart:
Reward to Risk Assessment:
Price action in the 4H chart formed a double bottom this week, Now, if there is a pullback, we should consider going long around 0.85. Give it some elbow space, and let's say we put a long entry at 0.8490. A stop low just below this week's low can be around 0.8455. The target should be limited for now to, let's be conservative and say, 0.8575. This offers a reward to risk of 85 to 35, which is about a 2.4:1 ratio. If the entry is at 0.85, the R:R would be 75:45, which is 1.6:1.
The barely decent reward to risk ratio and the prevailing bearish trend suggests we should indeed wait for a pullback to dip below 0.85 before the long entry. However, if the pullback is fast and quickly dips below 0.8480, we should look for another low before considering any bullish trade idea.
We should probably monitor the 1H chart for the entry:
NZD/USD 1H Chart:
Look for the pullback to come back to 0.8490, where we have the 50-hour SMA and a previous support pivot. Also look for the 1H RSI to dip to 40, and hold. If it can do that and start turning back up, price should also be respecting this week's double bottom, and should be helping the bullish outlook gain confidence.
Trade Safe, Trade Well!- Fan Yang
The NZD/USD is forming a mini-price bottom (double bottom) in the 4H chart. This is after a week of key US data, which collectively failed to impress, though they were decent. The lack of fundamental fuel opens up room for some USD-consolidation. In the NZD/USD, this means upside toward the 0.8575-0.86 area in the upcoming week. But before of the prevailing downtrend, we should keep the bullish outlook to the short-term.
NZD/USD 4H Chart:
Reward to Risk Assessment:
Price action in the 4H chart formed a double bottom this week, Now, if there is a pullback, we should consider going long around 0.85. Give it some elbow space, and let's say we put a long entry at 0.8490. A stop low just below this week's low can be around 0.8455. The target should be limited for now to, let's be conservative and say, 0.8575. This offers a reward to risk of 85 to 35, which is about a 2.4:1 ratio. If the entry is at 0.85, the R:R would be 75:45, which is 1.6:1.
The barely decent reward to risk ratio and the prevailing bearish trend suggests we should indeed wait for a pullback to dip below 0.85 before the long entry. However, if the pullback is fast and quickly dips below 0.8480, we should look for another low before considering any bullish trade idea.
We should probably monitor the 1H chart for the entry:
NZD/USD 1H Chart:
Look for the pullback to come back to 0.8490, where we have the 50-hour SMA and a previous support pivot. Also look for the 1H RSI to dip to 40, and hold. If it can do that and start turning back up, price should also be respecting this week's double bottom, and should be helping the bullish outlook gain confidence.
Trade Safe, Trade Well!- Fan Yang
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.
GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation
Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium
Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors.
Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too
Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.