EUR/USD has lost ground on Tuesday, giving up most of the gains earned a day earlier. In the European session, the pair is trading in the mid-1.26 range. The euro weakened on a dismal German data, as ZEW Economic Sentiment dropped below the zero level. Eurozone indicators did not impress, as ZEW Economic Sentiment and Eurozone Industrial Production softened. There are no major releases out of the US on Tuesday.
German ZEW Economic Sentiment, a key indicator, took a sharp drop in the previous release, falling to -3.6 points. This reading was the first contraction since October 2012, and points to pessimism among investors and analysts. There was no relief from Eurozone data, as ZEW Economic Sentiment dropped to just 4.1 points, compared to 14.2 a month earlier. Industrial Production came in at -1.8%, its third decline in four readings. The Eurozone continues to struggle, and we’re likely to see the downward trend continue, which bodes badly for the struggling euro.
US Unemployment Claims were unchanged last week, coming in at 287 thousand. This beat the estimate of 291 thousand. The indicator has now exceeded the forecast for four straight readings. Earlier in the week, JOLTS Job Openings climbed to 4.84 million, up from 4.67 million a month earlier. These numbers followed an excellent Nonfarm Payrolls report, as the US labor market continues to improve. With QE slated to end later this month, the focus will shift to the timetable for an interest rake hike. Stronger employment numbers are likely to put pressure on the Fed to make an interest rate move sooner rather than later in 2015, and increased speculation about a rate move could push the dollar even higher.
EUR/USD for Tuesday, October 14, 2014
EUR/USD October 14 at 10:30 GMT
EUR/USD 1.2674 H: 1.2716 L: 1.2650
EUR/USD Technical
- EUR/USD posted losses in the Asian session. The pair continued to lose ground in the European session, breaking below support at 1.2688.
- 1.2518 is a strong support line.
- 1.2688 has reverted back to a resistance role and is a weak line. 1.2806 is stronger.
- Current range: 1.2518 to 1.2688
Further levels in both directions:
- Below: 1.2518, 1.2407, 1.2286 and 1.2144
- Above: 1.2688, 1.2806, 1.2905, 1.2984 and 1.3104
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD holds above 1.0700 ahead of key US data
EUR/USD trades in a tight range above 1.0700 in the early European session on Friday. The US Dollar struggles to gather strength ahead of key PCE Price Index data, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation, and helps the pair hold its ground.
USD/JPY stays above 156.00 after BoJ Governor Ueda's comments
USD/JPY holds above 156.00 after surging above this level with the initial reaction to the Bank of Japan's decision to leave the policy settings unchanged. BoJ Governor said weak Yen was not impacting prices but added that they will watch FX developments closely.
Gold price oscillates in a range as the focus remains glued to the US PCE Price Index
Gold price struggles to attract any meaningful buyers amid the emergence of fresh USD buying. Bets that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer amid sticky inflation help revive the USD demand.
Sei Price Prediction: SEI is in the zone of interest after a 10% leap
Sei price has been in recovery mode for almost ten days now, following a fall of almost 65% beginning in mid-March. While the SEI bulls continue to show strength, the uptrend could prove premature as massive bearish sentiment hovers above the altcoin’s price.
US core PCE inflation set to signal firm price pressures as markets delay Federal Reserve rate cut bets
The core PCE Price Index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is seen as the more influential measure of inflation in terms of Fed positioning. The index is forecast to rise 0.3% on a monthly basis in March, matching February’s increase.