Nick Batsford, CEO of Tip TV, was alongside Zak Mir, technical analyst for ShareProphets.com, and James Hughes, senior market commentator for eToro, when he opened the Tip TV Finance Show to discuss the Fed and their influence on the commodity rout, as well as the USD/JPY and the Bank of Japan, and the US treasury.
No rate rise has seen commodities do well over the last few days
Mir commented that with the weak NFP figures being released on Friday, there is very little chance of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in 2015. He continued that this situation is looking good for commodities which have risen over the last few days. Hughes added that the Fed was so concerned with China and the emerging market scenario that the Fed forgot about the commodity rout. He emphasised that commodities will play a key role in the recovery of economies and businesses.
USD/JPY – awaits breakout?
Batsford highlighted FX Street, who noted that the risk-on rally in stocks is hurting the JPY and other safe haven currencies. They continued that heightened expectations of the BoJ easing monetary policy in October and renewed risk aversion in stocks, which could strengthen the JPY, against the US Trade balance most likely being a non-event, a USDJPY breakout is on the cards. They outlined that a break above the 200-DMA at 120.87 would be necessary for a rally, but failure to sustain above 120.41 could lead to a fresh sell-off towards the lower end of the symmetrical triangle.
US Treasury achieve first time selling
Batsford commented on Elliot, who noted that for the first time ever yesterday the US Treasury managed to sell three month bills for a zero yield. We understand that there were plenty of bids for the $21b on offer as the secondary market has already priced those maturing in January at negative 0.008%.
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