|

EUR/USD Range-trade below 1.1300 extends in early Europe

The EUR/USD pair stalled its steady recovery path just ahead of 5-DMA located at 1.1292 at Tokyo open, and from there continues to trade in a flat-line below 5-DMA.

EUR/USD eyes Jackson Hole for fresh direction

Currently, EUR/USD trades +0.07% higher at 1.1290, having found strong support at 1.1280. The main currency pair traded comatose almost throughout the Asian trades, and now extends the range-play into the early European trading, as markets refrain from creating fresh positions in the major ahead of the highly influential event for today, Yellen’s speech.

The EUR/USD pair, although manages to find some support from lower Asian equities, which underpins the funding currency euro, while the corrective rally fails to gather momentum in absence of fresh fundamental triggers.

Focus shifts to the US GDP report due to be published in the NA session, while the major remains at the mercy of the Fed Chair Yellen’s remarks.

EUR/USD Technical Levels               

In terms of technicals, the pair finds the immediate resistance 1.1300 (round number). A break beyond the last, doors will open for a test of 1.1367 (post-Brexit high). On the flip side, the immediate support is placed at 1.1257/50/46 (daily S1/ psychological levels) below which 1.1217/00 (20 & 100-DMA) could be tested.

1 Week
Avg Forecast 1.1362
100.0%80.0%50.0%0455055606570758085909510010500.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 50% Bullish
  • 30% Bearish
  • 20% Sideways
Bias Bullish
1 Month
Avg Forecast 1.1191
100.0%81.0%25.0%0203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 25% Bullish
  • 56% Bearish
  • 19% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 1.0989
100.0%90.0%11.0%010203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 11% Bullish
  • 79% Bearish
  • 11% Sideways
Bias Bearish

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats below 1.1750 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).