- This article, written by Patric Tengelin is taken from the FX Trader Magazine (JAN/MARCH 2013 issue).
In the stock market, the ultimate stock to day trade is whichever best fits your trading style and produces enough profits to buy 100 new shares faster than trading any other stock. We are market technicians and our favourite FX pair is the EUR/USD on the 30-minute chart. Technical analysis is not so much about the actual lines on the chart as it is trading the reaction of other traders at those lines.
By the end of this article you will have a clear understanding of how to eliminate the guesswork in trading and always be on the right side of the market.
This particular strategy will appeal to reactive traders who do not front run price action. The entries will be inferior but the hit rate superior. The equity curve will not be subject to the wild swings s o m e t i m e s experienced by anticipatory traders who constantly try to pick tops and bottoms but before we get into the meat of the strategy and when it is most profitable we need to make a few assumptions. We will list days when you should not trade at all and then talk about the time of day when you should look for setups. You will also learn about the key numbers for the EUR/ USD and how they constantly show up as support and resistance. Throughout the article we will give examples of the mechanics behind price movements and how to interpret price action, but let us first talk about indicators.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.
GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.
Japanese Yen trades just shy of 157.00 versus the USD
The Japanese Yen weakens across the board after BoJ announced its policy decision. A shortlived spike in the Yen may be testament to an attempt by the Japanese authorities to intervene. US PCE Price Index shows higher-than-expected inflation but does little to impact USD/JPY which almost touches 157.00.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.
GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation
Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium
Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors.
Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too
Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.
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