• Strategy summary – USD/JPY to edge higher towards 126.25 and then 132.20 longerterm. Support at 115.85/57.
USD/JPY continues to build for significantly higher levels. The last upswing from the 2 February higher low at 116.64 reached just shy of the 23 December lower ceiling at 120.82. An engulfing bar then triggered a corrective dip that appears to have rejected 118.11, the 61.8% retracement of the 116.64-120.48 advance. Breach of the 17 February high at 119.42 would firm the immediate tone further for a re-test of the key 120.48- 120.82 ceiling.

The longer-term trend and structure remain firmly positive, and a break above 120.48-82 would confirm the start of the next major up leg. MACD supports/confirms the latest upswing, and a break above 120.82 would open up the 8 December multi-year high at 121.86 first. A breach of this level would then pivot a challenge of the November 2007 peak at 124.14. A move above this level would then open up the November 2002 lower ceiling at 125.73. The continuation structure, however, projects gains beyond here to the 126.25 region. An equality target/objective then rests at 132.20.

Immediate supports lie at 118.11/116.64. A loss of the major base at 115.85/57 would disrupt the longer-term movement.

USDJPY

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