Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
EUR/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Down
Comment: Although the quality of the pattern is low, the bias towards EUR/CAD is still bearish. The pair is currently trading next to the upper boundary of the potential channel, which is also reinforced by the daily and weekly pivot points. Demand circa 1.5150, however, is going to be a major challenge for the bears, but beneath it the sell-off will be expected to extend down to 1.4950, namely the January low and the lower trend-line of the emerging channel. At the same time, a close above 1.5360/50 will not imply an immediate change in the outlook, being that the 200-hour SMA and daily R2 at 1.5480 are likely to prevent further recovery of the European currency.
AUD/NZD 1H Chart: Channel Down
Comment: The risks are heavily skewed to the downside. First, AUD/NZD has been trading within the bearish channel for the last four days. Secondly, the pair is right at the upper edge of the pattern. Accordingly, the Aussie should leave the 1.0790/80 supply area and head south. However, there is going to be a significant support zone at 1.0733/24, represented by the Feb 19 low and 200-hour SMA. Below it the price should gravitate towards the lower bound of the channel and the weekly S1 around 1.07. Alternatively, in case the rate jumps out of the channel to the upside, the focus will shift to a major resistance area at 1.0874/66, where the weekly R1 is joined by the daily R3 and Feb 16 high.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.
GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation
Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium
Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors.
Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too
Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.