AUDSGD: A Tiger Can Not Change Its Stripes


One would think the Australian and Singaporean economies are not in the same league and a very much an uneven match. The numbers show a surprising tale of two economies. Australia ranks 20th in terms of GDP-PPP at USD $1.1 trillion while Singapore ranks 40th with GDP-PPP at USD $435.2 billion. Aussie annualized GDP growth by the last measure is 2.5%. Singapore’s latest annualized GDP growth is a revised up 4.9%. Australia’s per capita GDP-PPP is a respectable USD $46,600 but Singapore roars with its USD $81,300 per capita. Singapore leads Australia in Gross National Savings 48% to 23%. Australia household consumption leads Singapore’s by 55.7% of GDP to 40.7% of GDP. 

Exports are a significant portion of GDPs to both economies but in very different ways. Singapore’s March non-petroleum export growth leaped by 18.5%. Key to the export gains were electronic and pharmaceuticals. Exports to Europe accounted for 56% and those to the US account for 19%. It’s important to note that Singapore’s oil exports have fallen over 13%. This demonstrates a key difference in both economies: Australia’s GDP growth is far more dependent on industrial commodity exports whereas Singapore’s GDP growth benefits from retail and pharma exports. Lastly, Singapore is a growing market for the super-rich in Asia. Singapore regularly hosts yacht shows and its strategic location at the southern tip of the Malaysian peninsula provides luxury moorings for those luxury yachts. Lastly, the city-state will host the Formula One Championship ‘Singapore Grand Prix’ for the next several years. Singapore is earning the title as the ‘Monaco of the East’.

Australia’s export grew 7.2% for all of 2014 weighed down by falling commodity prices and a slowing Chinese economy. Australia was benefitting from high demand for iron ore and coal until the slowdown. Some analysts do expect the Indian economy to make up for the slack in 2015. What Australia lacks in individual comparisons is made for by its comparative larger scale.

The question is: which currency will drive AUD/SGP? 

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses. 

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures