Good morning everyone! Hope everyone had a good week end! We seem to have a really good forecast on Friday where 6 out of the 7 pairs behaved very close to what we had thought possible. Only GBPUSD was the culprit that went in the opposite direction. Today we could be in for some moves on US Dollar pairs and Australian Dollar pairs due to our fundamental watch. US Dollar could be on the strong side through the course of the day while Japanese Yen could be sidelined. Adding two hedged pairs to offset the trading risk. Happy Trading!
Forecasts Outlook
US Dollar: Strong
Today we're expecting the EURUSD to proceed Short below the barrier levels of 1.38858 and 1.39055.
Fundamental Watch
- Core Retail Sales m/m
- Retail Sales m/m
- Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.
GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation
Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium
Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors.
Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too
Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.