Cyprus deal pushes euro lower


The euro (EUR) saw its largest drop in weeks against the US dollar (USD) moving from a high of 1.3047 to 1.2829. The single currency, currently moving just above 1.287 has come under pressure after yesterday’s deal on Cyprus. The “Cyprus Precedent”, as the press dubbed it, made many analysts suggest that the restructuring of troubled economies banks will be solved similarly if done under the EU, ECB, IMF framework. This has caused jitters in Spanish, Italian and other southern European lenders which are heavily exposed to their sovereigns.
    
Gold (XAU) recovered after dropping to 1590 US dollars per ounce. The precious metal, currently moving above 1602 has been heavily influenced by recent European developments.
 
The GER 30 (DAX) Germany’s leading stock market index dropped to 7880 from a previous 8034 following news of another euro bail-out executed in line with German directions.
Weekly option volatilities for the EURUSD at 9.52 shows investors’ fears subside and push options’ premiums lower.
Stay in tune throughout the day with foreign exchange bullets!

   

Movers & Shakers

USDJPY

The US dollar (USD) continued losses versus the Japanese yen (JPY). The pair moved to lower lows touching 93.57 before recovering somewhat to 94.24. Some analysts suggest that the pair is correcting on its upward course. Japan’s new central banker, Kuroda, has outlined the options for monetary easing which may help the yen edge lower.

   

Outlook

EURUSD Pivot Point 1.2920 with a preference to go SHORT at 1.2920.
Sentiment is 41% of deals to buy EUR
USDJPY Pivot Point 94.95 with a preference to go SHORT at 94.95.
Sentiment is 42% of deals to buy USD
GBPUSD Pivot Point 1.5165 with a preference to go LONG at 1.5165.
Sentiment is 66% of deals to buy GBP
AUDUSD Pivot Point 1.0415 with a preference to go LONG at 1.0415.
Sentiment is 59% of deals to buy AUD
GOLD Pivot Point 1617 with a preference to go SHORT at 1617.
Sentiment is 70% of deals to buy GOLD
OIL Pivot Point 95.65 with a preference to go SHORT at 95.65.
Sentiment is 77% of deals to buy OIL
US 500 Pivot Point 1535 with a preference to go Long at 1535.
Sentiment is 22% to buy US 500
UK 100 Pivot Point 6300 with a preference to go Long at 6300.
Sentiment is 18% to buy UK 100

   

Calendar

GBP – CBI Realized Sales at 11:00(GMT) Forecast 12
USD – Core Durable Goods Orders m/m at 12:30(GMT) Forecast 0.7%
USD – New Home Sales at 14:00(GMT) Forecast 426K

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses. 

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures