EURUSD positive range theme

  • The push last week up through the key trend line resistance from August, saw a shift to a range theme into mid-October.

  • This was reinforced by a cautious digestion Monday, but a resilient tone overnight switches back to a more positive bias with the bounce from ahead of 1.2583 support.

  • This now leaves the risk higher for a test back to the recent peak at 1.2792 and maybe extension to 1.2865, but a cap at 1.2902.

  • Below 1.2605 needed for a more defensive range theme.


WHAT CHANGES THIS?

  • Upside: Above 1.2995 aims higher for 1.3160 and 1.3220.

  • Downside: Below 1.2500 sees risk to 1.2460, the 78.6% retrace of the entire 2012-14 rally into mid-month.

4 hour EURUSD Chart

EURUSD

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