Jobs data drives AUD lower


Australian Dollar:

Australia’s unemployment rate jumped to a 12-year high in July figures yesterday revealed, sending the official level of joblessness from 6 percent to 6.4 percent, a level not witnessed since the height of the global financial crisis. Whilst the number of full time jobs increased by 14 500, part time employment fell by a staggering 14 800 with a notable jump in the labour force participation rate also further deteriorating the headline number. Triggering substantial falls, the Australian dollar has slumped to an overnight low of 0.9258 when valued against its US Counterpart more than a full cent below its earlier high. Opening this morning at the lower end of its recent trading range the Australian dollar currently buys 92.70 US Cents. In what’s set to be a key driver today investors will be looking towards the RBA’s Monetary Policy Statement which is due be released at 11:30am.  

  • We expect a range today of 0.9240 – 0.9310


New Zealand Dollar:

The New Zealand dollar has remained relatively steady overnight, consolidating the losses which were accumulated earlier in the week. Drifting between a low of 0.8451 and a high of 0.8493 when valued against its US Counterpart a flat Greenback mixed with a domestic calendar light on data sees the Kiwi open virtually unchanged at a rate of 0.8475 this morning. In what’s likely to spur heightened price activity today a string of economic prints from China (PPI, CPI, Trade Balance Numbers), should see improved liquidity flows.   

  • We expect a range today of 0.8440 – 0.8500


Great British Pound:

Having a very muted impact on broader currency markets overnight the Bank of England in line with expectation kept interest rates at their record of low of 0.5 percent, a level that has been maintained for a period greater than five years. Suggesting the British economy may require ongoing support in the form of enhanced liquidity and low borrowing costs economists are still looking towards a rate hike before years end. Marginally weaker against the Greenback this morning at a rate of 1.6832 the Sterling is also lower against the Kiwi (1.9853) whilst stronger against the Aussie (1.8152)

  • We expect a range today of 1.8120 – 1.8190


Majors:

The Euro has weakened in offshore trade after The European Central Bank said that the risks to the Eurozone’s economic recovery have heightened significantly since the onset of geopolitical tensions. Whilst Policy makers opted to keep interest rates at a record low, pledging additional stimulus if and when required, it was the dovish comments from Mario Draghi which inspired the sell-off. Further compounding the woes of the Euro overnight German Industrial figures fell whilst a separate report also confirmed Italy had officially fallen into recession. Tumbling to a low of 1.3336 when valued against its US Counterpart the 18-nation currency presently swaps hands at a rate of 1.3362. On the horizon today investors will be looking towards further monetary policy decisions from Japan followed by a string of key economic releases from China. Steady against the Yen this morning the greenback trades at a rate of 102.079


Data releases

  • AUD: RBA Monetary Policy Statement, Home Loans m/m
  • NZD: No data today
  • JPY: Current Account, Monetary Policy Statement
  • GBP: Trade Balance
  • EUR: No data today
  • USD: Prelim non-farm productivity q/q, Prelim Unit Labour Costs q/q

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses. 

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures