US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News


US Dollar picks up gains ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading mildly higher at 105.80. The Greenback's modest upward momentum comes despite Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's cautious remarks on inflation and its uncertain future trajectory. Ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday, weekly Jobless Claims figures seem to be benefiting the USD.

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Latest US Dollar Index Analysis


Latest US Dollar Index Analysis

Editors' picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.0750 to start the week

EUR/USD holds above 1.0750 to start the week

EUR/USD trades in positive territory above 1.0750 in the European session on Monday. The US Dollar struggles to find demand following Friday's disappointing labor market data and helps the pair hold its ground. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.2550

GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.2550

Following Friday's volatile action, GBP/USD edges highs and trades in the green above 1.2550. Soft April jobs report from the US and the modest improvement seen in risk mood make it difficult for the US Dollar to gather strength.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY inches higher to 153.70 amid a firmer US Dollar

USD/JPY inches higher to 153.70 amid a firmer US Dollar

USD/JPY could receive pressure due to revived expectations for the Fed’s interest rate cuts in 2024. US Nonfarm Payrolls reported fresh 175K jobs were added in April, lower than the estimated 243K. Japanese markets are closed on Monday due to a national holiday, with the possibility of intervention by authorities still present.

USD/JPY News

Gold price rebounds on downbeat NFP data, eyes on Fedspeak

Gold price rebounds on downbeat NFP data, eyes on Fedspeak

Gold price (XAU/USD) snaps the two-day losing streak during the European session on Monday. The weaker-than-expected US employment reports have boosted the odds of a September rate cut from the US Fed.

Gold News

WTI halts losing streak after Saudi Arabia raises Oil prices for June

WTI halts losing streak after Saudi Arabia raises Oil prices for June

West Texas Intermediate crude Oil price snaps its losing streak, trading around $78.20 per barrel during the Asian session on Monday. Oil prices increased after Saudi Arabia raised June crude prices for most regions.

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DOLLAR INDEX, USDX

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).
Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time.

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people:

  • Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
  • The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index.
  • The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.”
  • US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative.

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The US Dollar Index

When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events.

A Look at the US Dollar Index

Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.