US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News


US Dollar gains finds traction despite soft weekly Jobless Claims data

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is mildly trading up at 104.45 on Thursday as sellers seem to be consolidating the sharp downward movement from Wednesday's session. The US economy is hinting toward a slowdown, evidenced by the unexpected Initial Jobless Claims rise and a Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey contraction. Softer-than-expected inflation data reported on Wednesday supports this idea, which makes markets hope that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might consider rate cuts sooner rather than later, a thesis that weakens the USD.

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EUR/USD slipped on Thursday after Greenback pares some losses

EUR/USD slipped on Thursday after Greenback pares some losses

EUR/USD eased slightly on Thursday, falling back below 1.0880 as the Greenback broadly recovers losses from earlier in the week. The pair remains up for the trading week, but a late break for the US Dollar is on the cards as investors second-guess the Fed's stance on rate cuts.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD posts modest gains above 1.2650, focus on the Fedspeak

GBP/USD posts modest gains above 1.2650, focus on the Fedspeak

The GBP/USD pair posts modest gains near 1.2670 during the early Asian session on Friday. Meanwhile, the USD Index recovers some lost ground after retracing to multi-week lows near 104.00 in the previous session.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY climbs to near 156.00 as BoJ maintains bond-buying

USD/JPY climbs to near 156.00 as BoJ maintains bond-buying

USD/JPY rose to near 155.90 during the Asian session on Friday as the Japanese Yen encountered renewed pressure. This was sparked by the Bank of Japan maintaining its bond-buying amounts from the previous operation, opting against a surprise cut to debt purchasing earlier in the week.

USD/JPY News

Gold price loses momentum, with Fed speakers in focus

Gold price loses momentum, with Fed speakers in focus

Gold price trades with a bearish bias on Friday after retreating from the nearly $2,400 barrier. The bullish move of precious metals in the previous sessions was bolstered by the softer-than-expected US inflation data in April, which triggered hope for rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve.

Gold News

Oil extends the rally near $78.90, US inflation data boosts Fed rate cut expectations

Oil extends the rally near $78.90, US inflation data boosts Fed rate cut expectations

Western Texas Intermediate, the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $78.90 on Friday. The black gold edges higher amid the recent drop in US crude inventories and the possible interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. 

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DOLLAR INDEX, USDX

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).
Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time.

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people:

  • Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
  • The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index.
  • The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.”
  • US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative.

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The US Dollar Index

When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events.

A Look at the US Dollar Index

Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.