|

USD/CAD inches higher to 1.3040 as oil slides further

As oil retreat from the much talked above $50.00 psychological mark, the USD/CAD pair extended its Thursday's bounce off 50-day SMA support to currently trade comfortably above 1.3000 handle at 1.3040.

Extending its decline from $50.00/barrel mark, crude oil has now dropped below $49.00 level. A high degree of correlation with oil prices kept the Canadian Dollar (CAD) on back foot against its US counterpart, lifting the USD/CAD pair back above 1.3000 handle.

On Thursday, the USD/CAD pair staged recovery from an important confluence support near 1.2915, comprising of 50 & 20-day SMAs and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2461-1.3188 recent up-move. As the US Dollar continues to gain traction on Friday, ahead of the first revision of the first quarter GDP growth, the pair touched session high level of 1.3048. A follow through buying interest beyond 1.3050 would open room for further appreciation for the pair.

Technical levels to watch

On a sustained up-move beyond 1.3050 level, the pair seems all set to dart towards 1.3090-1.3100 handle resistance, beyond which the up-move could get extended towards recent daily closing highs resistance near 1.3140-45 zone.

On the flip side, failure to conquer its immediate resistance and a subsequent drop back below 1.3000 handle is likely to drag the pair back towards 20-day SMA support, currently near 1.2935-30 region.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Breaking: US Trump strikes Venezuela, claims President Maduro was captured and flown out of the country

United States (US) President Donald Trump has fulfilled his threats and finally struck Venezuela. Different media reports that explosions in Caracas began around 1:50 am local time on Saturday, leaving multiple areas of the city without power.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).