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GBPUSD opens gap-down near 1.1300 despite Fed favors a less-hawkish guidance

  • GBPUSD has initiated Monday’s movement with a gap-down approach despite cheerful market mood.
  • Less room for more Fed’s bigger rate hike has weakened the DXY’s appeal.
  • Investors are awaiting more developments on tightening fiscal policy measures by UK’s novel leadership.

The GBPUSD pair has initiated the week on a gap-down note near the round-level support of 1.1300 in the early Tokyo session. This could be the result of long liquidation after a bullish Friday as the market mood is extremely cheerful on expectations of a slowdown in the pace of rate hikes by the Federal Reserve (Fed) ahead.

Solid improvement in investors’ risk appetite has capped the US dollar index (DXY)’s upside. The mighty DXY is oscillating below the critical hurdle of 111.00. However, the returns on US government bonds are still solid despite a decline in volatility. The 10-year US Treasury yields are hovering around 4.16%.

Chicago Fed President Charles L. Evans cited on Friday that the time is ripe for smaller rate hikes by the Fed to avoid tightening monetary policy more than needed and slow the pace further once risks become more "two-sided”, as reported by Reuters.

Last week, the Fed hiked interest rates by 75 bps consecutively for the fourth time to 3.75-4.00% to scale down mounting price pressures. The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) has already depicted signs of exhaustion, however, the condition of making a peak in core inflation still seems far from over.

The deviation between current borrowing rates and the desired terminal rate is one big rate hike now, therefore less room for more rate hikes could compel Fed chair Jerome Powell to adopt the ‘baby steps’ approach ahead.

On the UK front, investors are awaiting more developments on tightening fiscal policy measures by novel leadership in Britain led by UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and Chancellor Jeremy Hunt that will aid in an enlarged debt crisis.

Spending cuts and tax appreciation have been announced by the UK administration to trim overall debt and inflation from the economy. The financial statement to be delivered on November 17 will provide clarity over the scale of tightening fiscal measures and may weigh on households' earnings further in already higher payout times due to double-digit inflation and subdued earnings.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.1311
Today Daily Change -0.0066
Today Daily Change % -0.58
Today daily open 1.1377
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.1324
Daily SMA50 1.1339
Daily SMA100 1.1694
Daily SMA200 1.2315
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.1382
Previous Daily Low 1.1147
Previous Weekly High 1.1614
Previous Weekly Low 1.1147
Previous Monthly High 1.1646
Previous Monthly Low 1.0924
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1293
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1237
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1222
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.1067
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0987
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1457
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1537
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1692

 

 

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