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EUR/USD rebounds from two-day lows toward 1.1130

  • Euro among worst performers on Thursday.
  • DXY rises after two days of declines, off highs.
  • EUR/USD’s recovery finds resistance below 1.1135.

The EUR/USD bottomed at 1.1067 after the beginning of the American session and then rebounded to the 1.1135 area as stocks trimmed losses in Wall Street. The greenback lost momentum as US yields remain near daily lows.

The euro is the worst G10 performer on Thursday, hit by a decline in German yields and concerns about rising inflation in the Eurozone. The CPI is due on Friday, and it could reach 7%.

In the US, data showed the Core PCE rose by 5.4% year-over-year, Initial Jobless Claims increased modestly to 202K from the lowest since 1969, and the Chicago PMI rose from 56.3 to 62.9. The figures were mostly ignored by market participants. On Friday, the US official employment report is due. Market consensus points to an increase in payroll of 490K and a drop in the unemployment rate from 3.8% to 3.7%.

US yields look steady on Thursday, hovering near recent lows. The 10-year yield stands at 2.32% and the 30-year at 2.45%. The Dow Jones drops 0.36%, and the Nasdaq loses 0.27%.

Testing the 20-SMA in 4-hour chart

The correction of EUR/USD from the highest level in four weeks near 1.1200 alleviated the bullish pressure, but so far, it did not change the current positive outlook for the euro. The pair rebounded and managed to remain above the 20-Simple Moving Average in the four-hour chart (currently at 1.1080) and recovered the 1.1100 mark.

A firm break under 1.1080 would change the current bias to neutral. The immediate, relevant support might be seen at 1.1035/40.  On the upside, the 1.1135 zone has become a critical resistance again. If the euro rises above the latter, a test of the weekly high at 1.1185 should not be ruled out.

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.1081
Today Daily Change -0.0077
Today Daily Change % -0.69
Today daily open 1.1158
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.1003
Daily SMA50 1.1184
Daily SMA100 1.1253
Daily SMA200 1.1494
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.1171
Previous Daily Low 1.1083
Previous Weekly High 1.107
Previous Weekly Low 1.0961
Previous Monthly High 1.1495
Previous Monthly Low 1.1106
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1137
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1116
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1104
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.1049
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1015
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1192
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1226
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1281

 

 

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