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EUR/USD extends recovery to near 1.0350 as risk-off mood wanes, Eurozone Inflation eyed

  • EUR/USD has picked demand near 1.0320 as the risk aversion theme is losing its steam.
  • An expansion in US GDP could create more troubles for the Fed.
  • The headline Eurozone inflation is expected to decline to 10.4%.

The EUR/USD pair has witnessed recovery after dropping to near 1.0320 in the Asian session. The major currency pair has managed to safeguard the round-level cushion of 1.0300 for now and is expected to remain sideways ahead of the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) figures.

The risk aversion theme has lost its grip and the US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned volatile. The upside in the USD Index seems capped as the Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell, in his speech on Wednesday, is expected to sound ‘less-hawkish’ on interest rate guidance. S&P500 futures are displaying a lackluster performance as investors are expected to decide on pouring funds back into equities post-Fed Powell’s speech.

Meanwhile, 10-year US Treasury yields have witnessed mild selling pressure after hitting a high of 3.75%.

In addition to the Fed chair’s speech, investors will also focus on US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. As per the projections, the United States economy has grown at a rate of 2.6%, similar to its prior release. Expansion or stability in the GDP rates could accelerate troubles for the Fed. The US central bank has worked on slowing down the inflation rate in the entire year. Stable GDP rates express that retail demand is solid and inflation is not expected to decline.

On the Eurozone front, investors are focusing on the release of the inflation figures. As per the consensus, the headline HICP will decline to 10.4% vs. the prior release of 10.6%. While the core HICP data that excludes oil and food prices is seen unchanged at 5%.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.0346
Today Daily Change 0.0020
Today Daily Change % 0.19
Today daily open 1.0326
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0219
Daily SMA50 0.9977
Daily SMA100 1.0037
Daily SMA200 1.0379
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0394
Previous Daily Low 1.032
Previous Weekly High 1.0449
Previous Weekly Low 1.0223
Previous Monthly High 1.0094
Previous Monthly Low 0.9632
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0349
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0366
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0299
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0272
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0224
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0373
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0421
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0448

 

 

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