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AUD/USD: Mildly bid above 0.7750 despite mixed RBA minutes, PBOC inaction

  • AUD/USD refreshes intraday high following RBA minutes, PBOC rate decision.
  • RBA minutes reiterate dislike for unemployment rate, PBOC leaves interest rates unchanged.
  • Risk-on mood backs the bulls, US dollar consolidation test further upside.
  • Qualitative catalysts will be in the spotlight amid a light calendar.

AUD/USD stays well bid near 0.7780, up 0.25% intraday, during early Tuesday. While mild risk-on mood favored the quote initially in Asia, minutes of the latest Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) monetary policy meeting and the PBOC Interest Rate Decision favored the bulls off-late.

As per the latest RBA minutes, the board members remain committed to doing what it reasonably can do to support Australian economy while citing the need for "highly supportive" monetary conditions.

Read: RBA Minutes: No hurry to tighten policy settings

Further, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) matches wide market expectations of keeping the benchmark rates unchanged. That said, the PBOC keeps one-year and five-year around 3.85% and 4.65% respectively during the latest monetary policy meeting.

Read: PBOC keeps one-year loan prime rate unchanged at 3.85%

Market sentiment dwindles amid headlines concerning Russia, China and the coronavirus (COVID-19). While geopolitical fears emanating from Kremlin and Beijing test the bulls, mixed concerns on covid join US President Joe Biden’s readiness to alter some parts of his $2.25 trillion infrastructure spending to favor the optimists.

Against this backdrop, S&P 500 Futures print mild gains after stepping back from the record top the previous day. Further, the US 10-year Treasury yields remain firm at around 1.60% whereas the US dollar index (DXY) consolidate the heaviest drop in 2021 with a corrective pullback to 91.10.

Given the initial market reaction to the day’s key events in Asia, AUD/USD pair traders may have to keep their eyes on the risk catalysts for fresh impulse. Herein, comments from China's President Xi Jinping will be important as he will be addressing a forum on global risks and might convey the Washington-Beijing tussles over there.

Technical analysis

Multiple tops around 0.7800, marked since early January, test AUD/USD buyers cheering sustained trading beyond the 50-day SMA level of 0.7720.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.7772
Today Daily Change 14 pips
Today Daily Change % 0.18%
Today daily open 0.7758
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.7645
Daily SMA50 0.7723
Daily SMA100 0.7675
Daily SMA200 0.7433
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.7785
Previous Daily Low 0.752
Previous Weekly High 0.7762
Previous Weekly Low 0.7585
Previous Monthly High 0.785
Previous Monthly Low 0.7562
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7684
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7621
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.759
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.7422
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.7325
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7856
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7953
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8121

 

 

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