Analysis

EurUsd saw a brief spike to 1.2295 on Friday

EURUSD: 1.2218

EurUsd saw a brief spike to 1.2295 on Friday but then slid steadily lower, with the dollar making slow but steady gains, seemingly unworried by the prospect of a US Government shutdown. The pair finished on their lows but well above the week’s low of 1.2165.

1 hour/4 hour indicators: Turning lower Daily Indicators: Up Weekly Indicators:  Turning higher

Preferred Strategy:  A neutral stance seems wise at the start of the week with the momentum indicators showing little change from Friday. The short term momentum indicators are pointing a little lower, so a retest of 1.2200/1.2170 would not surprise, but with the dailies still looking positive, a return to the trend high should not be discounted either.

NB. The Euro is opening inter-bank trade on Monday at 1.2265. A cautious stance is required.

Buy EurUsd @ 1.2170. SL @ 1.2280, TP @ 1.2135

Resistance   Support  
1.2335 Minor 1.2218 Friday low
1.2322 17 Jan high 1.2165 17 Jan low
1.2295 Friday low 1.2140 23.6% of 1.1553/1.2295/200 HMA
1.2275 H/S Neckline 1.2120 Minor
1.2260 Minor 1.2100 Minor

 

Economic data highlights will include:

M:  German BuBa Monthly Report, Chicago Fed National Activity Index

T:    German/EU ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey, EU Preliminary Consumer Confidence (Jan), Richmond Fed Mfg Index, World Economic Forum- Davos

W: Eurogroup Meeting, EU/US Flash Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMIs, US Existing Home Sales, EIA Crude Oil Stocks Weekly Change

T: EcoFin Meeting, German IFO Business Climate/Expectations, ECB Interest Rate Decision, Monetary Policy  Statement, US Jobless Claims, Wholesale Inventories, New Home Sales, Kansas Fed Mfg Activity,  World Economic Forum- Davos.

 

Interested in EURUSD technicals? Check out the key levels

 

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