USD/MXN Price Analysis: At monthly highs, 21.00 on the radar
|- USD/MXN holds bullish bias, approaching testing resistance zone 20.85/90.
- Risk aversion weighs on the Mexican peso and other emerging market currencies.
- Slide under 20.60 needed to alleviate bullish pressure.
The USD/MXN is on its way to the highest weekly close since December. After rising back above 20.70, the dollar gained momentum and currently is testing the 20.85 resistance area. A break higher, if sustained above 20.90, could lead to a test of the following strong barrier seen at 21.05.
The 100-week moving average is seen at 20.92. A close clearly above would be a positive sign for the US dollar, for a potential extension to 21.35.
The RSI and momentum in the daily chart are pointing north, still not at extreme overbought levels. No signs of a correction are seen at the moment. If the USD/MXN fails to break above 20.85/90, the Mexican peso could experience a brief rally. Only below 20.60, the pressure is expected to ease.
The outlook favors more gains in USD/MXN, particularly with a close above 20.80. The risk aversion environment, which translates into a stronger dollar, also favors the upside from a fundamental perspective.
USD/MXN daily chart
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