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USD/CAD breaks higher towards 1.2900 amid firmer USD, WTI sell-off

  • USD/CAD receives a double booster shot from a weaker USD and WTI sell-off.
  • China wreaks havoc in markets yet again, triggers a range breakout in the pair.
  • Bulls eye 50 DMA barrier after surpassing the 100 and 21 DMAs.

Having based out at the critical 200-Daily Moving Average (DMA) at 1.2748 last week, USD/CAD found buyers once again near the latter, staging a solid rebound towards the 1.2900 round number.

In doing so, the major broke the consolidative mode to the upside and stormed the mildly bullish 100 DMA at 1.2802, now briefly recapturing the bearish 21 DMA at 1.2854. The latest leg higher in the USD/CAD pair is fuelled by a combination of a broad-based US dollar upswing and a 2% sell-off in the WTI price.

Both the safe-haven dollar and the higher-yielding US oil are influenced by the resurfacing concerns over the Chinese economic slowdown after the country’s reported a drop in consumer spending, industrial sector and fixed asset investment activity.

The black gold also bore the brunt of comments from Aramco, Saudi Arabia’s oil giant. Aramco’s CEO Amin Nasser said that they stand ready to raise crude oil output to its maximum capacity of 12 million barrels per day (BPD) if requested to do so.

All eyes now remain on Wednesday, as it will see the release of the Canadian inflation figures, US Retail Sales and the Fed minutes. In the meantime, the major will take cues from risk sentiment and dynamics of the dollar and oil price.

USD/CAD daily chart

USD/CAD technical levels to consider

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.2857
Today Daily Change 0.0074
Today Daily Change % 0.58
Today daily open 1.2782
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2855
Daily SMA50 1.2883
Daily SMA100 1.2799
Daily SMA200 1.2746
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2803
Previous Daily Low 1.274
Previous Weekly High 1.295
Previous Weekly Low 1.2728
Previous Monthly High 1.3224
Previous Monthly Low 1.2789
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2779
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2764
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2747
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2711
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2683
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.281
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2838
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2874

 

 

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