Tesla Stock Price and Forecast: TSLA earnings beat but stock drops on supply issues
Premium|Take advantage of 50% OFF on your first month.
Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.
You have reached your limit of 5 free articles for this month.
Get Premium without limits for only $9.99 for the first month
Access all our articles, insights, and analysts.
UNLOCK OFFER- Tesla reports earnings after the close Wednesday.
- TSLA needs strong outperformance to help stem recent losses.
- Tesla delivery numbers are already strong.
Update: Tesla beat on the top and bottom lines but the shares are tanking as concerns arise about supply issues. Tesla says it aims to increase production as quickly as it can and that it sees supply chain limits continuing through 2022. Tesla (TSLA) stock is trading down 3.7% at $899 but was down over 6% just after the announcement.
Tesla (TSLA) gets its time in the limelight later after the close on Wednesday, but the EV star will have to share that limelight with the Fed. The Fed Q&A will be the most important part of its two-day conference. We are assuming nothing happens on the interest rate front, but it should prepare the way for a March hike. This is priced into markets, so assuming nothing too surprising we may actually be able to produce a relief rally.
Tesla (TSLA) could add to this if it can produce solid results. So far earnings season has not been as hoped. Bank earnings were mixed with investment banks being perhaps the most disappointing aspect. Unfortunately, this happened just as financial sector ETFs were topping the charts for inflows. This week we have had Microsoft (MSFT) so far, which produced strong earnings and a strong outlook. On Thursday, Apple (AAPL) reports. This trio could turn the entire market sentiment around.
Tesla Stock News
Tesla is expected to post earnings per share (EPS) of $2.26 on revenue of $16.35 billion. Tesla has already released delivery numbers earlier this month. Deliveries hit 308,000 vehicles. Given that deliveries are the main driver, that should limit any surprises. The big focus for investors and analysts will likely be on maintaining margins in a rising cost environment. How well is Tesla able to pass on those rising prices to customers? Already we have seen Tesla raise prices for some models, and the company recently announced price increases in China.
Tesla is our highest risk of the three mentioned big tech names: Microsoft, Tesla and Apple. We are all well familiar with Tesla's lofty valuation metrics, and high growth names suffering disproportionally has been a feature of 2022. Delivery numbers are already out of the picture, which means the focus will solely be on margins and outlook.
Tesla Stock Forecast
$843 is a big support, the gap from back in October of last year. Tesla is currently in a pretty strong downtrend with the old pivot of $980 still in place. We also identified $886 as key. Yes, the stock did break lower on Monday but only briefly, and this was sharply rejected. Any stabilisation could see a bullish double bottom, and also note the divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Earnings will be key. If we can hold down here and earnings are fine, then TSLA should push higher. Failure though will see $843 break and the 200-day moving average below is the obvious target at $812. Currently too indecisive ahead of earnings, we will update our view afterward.
Tesla (TSLA) chart, daily
Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:
- Tesla reports earnings after the close Wednesday.
- TSLA needs strong outperformance to help stem recent losses.
- Tesla delivery numbers are already strong.
Update: Tesla beat on the top and bottom lines but the shares are tanking as concerns arise about supply issues. Tesla says it aims to increase production as quickly as it can and that it sees supply chain limits continuing through 2022. Tesla (TSLA) stock is trading down 3.7% at $899 but was down over 6% just after the announcement.
Tesla (TSLA) gets its time in the limelight later after the close on Wednesday, but the EV star will have to share that limelight with the Fed. The Fed Q&A will be the most important part of its two-day conference. We are assuming nothing happens on the interest rate front, but it should prepare the way for a March hike. This is priced into markets, so assuming nothing too surprising we may actually be able to produce a relief rally.
Tesla (TSLA) could add to this if it can produce solid results. So far earnings season has not been as hoped. Bank earnings were mixed with investment banks being perhaps the most disappointing aspect. Unfortunately, this happened just as financial sector ETFs were topping the charts for inflows. This week we have had Microsoft (MSFT) so far, which produced strong earnings and a strong outlook. On Thursday, Apple (AAPL) reports. This trio could turn the entire market sentiment around.
Tesla Stock News
Tesla is expected to post earnings per share (EPS) of $2.26 on revenue of $16.35 billion. Tesla has already released delivery numbers earlier this month. Deliveries hit 308,000 vehicles. Given that deliveries are the main driver, that should limit any surprises. The big focus for investors and analysts will likely be on maintaining margins in a rising cost environment. How well is Tesla able to pass on those rising prices to customers? Already we have seen Tesla raise prices for some models, and the company recently announced price increases in China.
Tesla is our highest risk of the three mentioned big tech names: Microsoft, Tesla and Apple. We are all well familiar with Tesla's lofty valuation metrics, and high growth names suffering disproportionally has been a feature of 2022. Delivery numbers are already out of the picture, which means the focus will solely be on margins and outlook.
Tesla Stock Forecast
$843 is a big support, the gap from back in October of last year. Tesla is currently in a pretty strong downtrend with the old pivot of $980 still in place. We also identified $886 as key. Yes, the stock did break lower on Monday but only briefly, and this was sharply rejected. Any stabilisation could see a bullish double bottom, and also note the divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Earnings will be key. If we can hold down here and earnings are fine, then TSLA should push higher. Failure though will see $843 break and the 200-day moving average below is the obvious target at $812. Currently too indecisive ahead of earnings, we will update our view afterward.
Tesla (TSLA) chart, daily
Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.