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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD pulls back to near $2,310 from the fresh highs

  • Gold price retreats from the new record high of $2,330 marked on Friday.
  • The price of Gold faces challenges due to lowered chances of Fed rate cuts in June.
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls added 303K new jobs in March, exceeding the expected 200K.

Gold price drops to near $2,310 per troy ounce during the Asian session on Monday after touching a new record high on Friday. The price of precious metal faces challenges primarily due to higher US Treasury yields, which weakens the non-yielding assets.

The recent gains in the US Dollar exert downward pressure on the price of Gold, making it more expensive for investors holding other currencies to purchase Gold. This decreases demand for the precious metal.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades higher around 104.40, with the 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury bonds standing at 4.77% and 4.42%, by the press time. The stronger Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report reinforces the bullish outlook for the Greenback. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of a rate cut in June from the Federal Reserve (Fed) has been depreciated to 46.1%.

US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) reported a significant increase of 303,000 jobs in March, surpassing expectations of 200,000. However, the previous growth of 275,000 was revised downward to 270,000.

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie K. Logan emphasized on Friday that, given the upside risks to inflation, she believes it is premature to consider cutting interest rates. She stressed the necessity of resolving more uncertainty regarding the economic trajectory before making such decisions. Logan also highlighted the importance of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to remain ready to respond appropriately if inflationary pressures cease to abate.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 2313.6
Today Daily Change -16.10
Today Daily Change % -0.69
Today daily open 2329.7
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 2204.89
Daily SMA50 2107.81
Daily SMA100 2068.32
Daily SMA200 1998.75
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2330.55
Previous Daily Low 2267.86
Previous Weekly High 2330.55
Previous Weekly Low 2228.58
Previous Monthly High 2236.27
Previous Monthly Low 2039.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2306.6
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2291.81
Daily Pivot Point S1 2288.19
Daily Pivot Point S2 2246.68
Daily Pivot Point S3 2225.5
Daily Pivot Point R1 2350.88
Daily Pivot Point R2 2372.06
Daily Pivot Point R3 2413.57

 

 

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